Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2012/2013

Santa Ana

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Villaviciosa de Odon play Santa Ana in the Tercera Division - Group 7 2012/2013. Villaviciosa de Odon are favorites here. Recently, Villaviciosa de Odon averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Santa Ana averaged 0.66 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. In past meetings, Villaviciosa de Odon won 1, Santa Ana won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 17, 2013 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Villaviciosa de Odon and 1.56 for Santa Ana. This points to a Villaviciosa de Odon double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%

Villaviciosa de Odon

15%

Draws

28%

Santa Ana

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Villaviciosa de Odon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence

Villaviciosa de Odon picked up more points recently compared to Santa Ana.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

Villaviciosa de Odon Clean Sheet 15%

Santa Ana Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Villaviciosa de Odon	Santa Ana
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	7	4
Draws	5	4
Losses	18	21
Goals Scored	1.23	0.66
Goals Conceded	1.93	2.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Villaviciosa de Odon vs Santa Ana

Possession: 51% - 46% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Oct 28, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Santa Ana vs Villaviciosa de Odon

Possession: 60% - 43% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villaviciosa de Odon 54 / 100

Santa Ana 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Villaviciosa de Odon Santa Ana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villaviciosa de Odon Win (1)

Secondary Pick Villaviciosa de Odon & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +16.3%

2.04

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Villaviciosa de Odon attacking → ← attacking Santa Ana

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villaviciosa de Odon scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Santa Ana let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Villaviciosa de Odon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Santa Ana lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 16

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Puerta Bonita	38	19	13	6	69:41	70
2	Collado Villalba	38	22	3	13	52:37	69
3	Trival Valderas	38	20	8	10	70:46	68
4	Union Adarve	38	18	12	8	51:33	66
5	Pozuelo de Alarcon	38	18	10	10	52:33	64
6	Carabanchel	38	17	12	9	59:38	63
7	Parla	38	17	11	10	51:39	62
8	Rayo Majadahonda	38	16	11	11	62:45	59
9	AD Colmenar	38	17	8	13	67:50	59
10	Real Aranjuez	38	14	9	15	48:58	51
11	DUX Internacional de Madrid	38	13	10	15	43:54	49
12	San Fernando de Henares	38	13	9	16	43:49	48
13	Atl. Madrid C	38	13	8	17	45:59	47
14	Mexico	38	11	14	13	45:46	47
15	Atletico Pinto	38	11	12	15	42:42	45
16	Alcorcon B	38	10	12	16	31:50	42
17	Villaviciosa de Odon	38	10	11	17	30:45	41
18	Colonia Moscardo	38	10	8	20	32:53	38
19	Grinon	38	7	11	20	34:72	32
20	Santa Ana	38	3	10	25	30:66	19