Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Villefranche vs Aubagne FC

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Armand Chouffet, Villefranche-sur-Saône
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Bentoumi M.
Assist: Rocchia C.
12' Event
Leye B.
Assist: Keita S.
22'
Grippon T.

AI Match Summary

The National 2025/2026 game between Villefranche and Aubagne FC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Villefranche.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Villefranche
33%
Draws
40%
Aubagne FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Aubagne FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Aubagne FC haven't matched Villefranche's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Aubagne FC's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Villefranche Clean Sheet 19%
Aubagne FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villefranche Aubagne FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 Ligue 3
Villefranche vs Aubagne FC
2:1
Aug 15, 2025 Ligue 3
Aubagne FC vs Villefranche
3:1
Feb 14, 2025 Ligue 3
Aubagne FC vs Villefranche
1:2
Sep 13, 2024 Ligue 3
Villefranche vs Aubagne FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villefranche Compare

Top Goalscorer Leye B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Touho M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Aubagne FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bentoumi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villefranche 28 / 100
Aubagne FC 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villefranche Aubagne FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aubagne FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Villefranche found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Solid form: Villefranche remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Villefranche VS Aubagne FC
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Villefranche

(Home)
15 Jul
Grenoble
5 : 2
Villefranche
15 May
Concarneau
2 : 2
Villefranche
02 May
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 0
Villefranche
24 Apr
Caen
3 : 0
Villefranche
17 Apr
Villefranche
3 : 1
Paris 13 Atletico
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Aubagne FC

(Away)
24 Jul
Aubagne FC
1 : 1
Bastia
11 Jul
Montpellier
3 : 2
Aubagne FC
15 May
Aubagne FC
3 : 1
Caen
09 May
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 1
Aubagne FC
01 May
Aubagne FC
1 : 2
Stade Briochin
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dijon321811352:2565
2Sochaux321610651:2658
3Rouen321413543:2955
4Fleury-Merogis32159847:3054
5Versailles32158946:3453
6Orleans32149942:4251
7Le Puy-en-Velay321211945:3847
8Caen32816839:3440
9Concarneau328141032:3738
10Valenciennes321081435:4437
11Aubagne FC329101338:4637
12Villefranche321071534:4537
13Quevilly32891534:4533
14Paris 13 Atletico327111426:4132
15Bourg Peronnas32871725:4431
16Chateauroux326131335:4930
17Stade Briochin325121535:5027
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)