Sport Picks
Villefranche vs Valenciennes
France
National 2025/2026 Stade Armand Chouffet, Villefranche-sur-Saône 
Match Events
9'
9'
Passi B.
Assist: Marechal T.
10'
10'
Leye B.
Assist: Bayeye B. J.
43'
43'
Louchet J.
AI Match Summary
Valenciennes in this National 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valenciennes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
20%
64%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Valenciennes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Villefranche haven't matched Valenciennes's recent run of results.
- Model gives Valenciennes a 64% chance of winning this.
- Regular National 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Valenciennes here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Villefranche Clean Sheet 12%
Valenciennes Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Villefranche | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 6, 2026 Ligue 3
Villefranche vs Valenciennes
2:3
Sep 26, 2025 Ligue 3
Valenciennes vs Villefranche
2:0
Mar 7, 2025 Ligue 3
Villefranche vs Valenciennes
0:2
Oct 4, 2024 Ligue 3
Valenciennes vs Villefranche
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Villefranche Compare
Top Goalscorer Leye B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Assef M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Valenciennes Compare
Top Goalscorer Passi B.
2 Goals Assists Leader Diomande D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Villefranche 10 / 100
Valenciennes 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Villefranche Valenciennes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Valenciennes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Valenciennes has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 3.25 goals.
Villefranche's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Away concern: Valenciennes has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Villefranche VS Valenciennes
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Villefranche
(Home) 03 Oct
Amiens SC
3 : 0 Villefranche
26 Sept
Villefranche
1 : 2 Versailles
19 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
4 : 1 Villefranche
12 Sept
Villefranche
0 : 0 La Roche Vendee
05 Sept
Fleury 91
6 : 1 Villefranche
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Villefranche
1 : 2 Versailles
12 Sept
Villefranche
0 : 0 La Roche Vendee
29 Aug
Villefranche
0 : 2 Rouen
14 Aug
Villefranche
2 : 0 Paris 13 Atletico
17 Apr
Villefranche
3 : 1 Paris 13 Atletico
Page 1 of 3
Valenciennes
(Away) 03 Oct
Versailles
1 : 0 Valenciennes
26 Sept
Valenciennes
2 : 1 Le Puy-en-Velay
19 Sept
La Roche Vendee
3 : 2 Valenciennes
12 Sept
Valenciennes
1 : 2 Fleury 91
03 Sept
Rouen
1 : 1 Valenciennes
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Versailles
1 : 0 Valenciennes
19 Sept
La Roche Vendee
3 : 2 Valenciennes
03 Sept
Rouen
1 : 1 Valenciennes
20 Aug
Paris 13 Atletico
2 : 1 Valenciennes
07 Aug
Caen
4 : 0 Valenciennes
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dijon | 32 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 52:25 | 65 |
| 2 | Sochaux | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 51:26 | 58 |
| 3 | Rouen | 32 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 43:29 | 55 |
| 4 | Fleury 91 | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 47:30 | 54 |
| 5 | Versailles | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 46:34 | 53 |
| 6 | Orleans | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 42:42 | 51 |
| 7 | Le Puy-en-Velay | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 45:38 | 47 |
| 8 | Caen | 32 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 39:34 | 40 |
| 9 | Concarneau | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 32:37 | 38 |
| 10 | Valenciennes | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:44 | 37 |
| 11 | Aubagne FC | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 38:46 | 37 |
| 12 | Villefranche | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 34:45 | 37 |
| 13 | Quevilly | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34:45 | 33 |
| 14 | Paris 13 Atletico | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 26:41 | 32 |
| 15 | Bourg Peronnas | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 25:44 | 31 |
| 16 | Chateauroux | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 35:49 | 30 |
| 17 | Stade Briochin | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 35:50 | 27 |
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
