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Villegas vs Calasancio

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Tercera Division - Group 16 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 16 2020/2021 game between Villegas and Calasancio finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Calasancio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Villegas
30%
Draws
47%
Calasancio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Calasancio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Calasancio come out ahead of Villegas on wins alone.
  • Model gives Villegas a 23% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Calasancio have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Villegas Clean Sheet 12%
Calasancio Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villegas Calasancio
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 5 6
Draws 6 6
Losses 21 18
Goals Scored 1 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.94 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Calasancio vs Villegas
2:0
Apr 18, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Villegas vs Calasancio
0:3
Feb 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Villegas vs Calasancio
2:1
Sep 19, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Calasancio vs Villegas
2:1
Mar 11, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Villegas vs Calasancio
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villegas 56 / 100
Calasancio 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villegas Calasancio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villegas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Calasancio conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Calasancio lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Villegas found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Villegas VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Villegas

(Home)
10 May
Comillas CF
1 : 0
Villegas
03 May
Villegas
1 : 1
Vianes
26 Apr
Arnedo
2 : 1
Villegas
18 Apr
Villegas
2 : 2
San Marcial
12 Apr
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 2
Villegas
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Calasancio

(Away)
06 Jun
Calasancio
1 : 1
Agoncillo
30 May
Comillas CF
4 : 0
Calasancio
23 May
Calasancio
2 : 0
Villegas
16 May
Berceo
4 : 1
Calasancio
09 May
Calasancio
0 : 4
Vianes
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