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Villegas vs Calasancio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 16 2020/2021
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 16 2020/2021 game between Villegas and Calasancio finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Calasancio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Villegas
35%
Draws
46%
Calasancio
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Calasancio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

19% / Low Confidence
  • Villegas's 1 goals per match outpaces what Calasancio have produced (0.76).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Calasancio have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Villegas Clean Sheet 16%
Calasancio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villegas Calasancio
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 5 5
Draws 6 7
Losses 21 17
Goals Scored 1 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.94 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Calasancio vs Villegas
2:0
Apr 18, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Villegas vs Calasancio
0:3
Feb 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Villegas vs Calasancio
2:1
Sep 19, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Calasancio vs Villegas
2:1
Mar 11, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Villegas vs Calasancio
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villegas 30 / 100
Calasancio 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villegas Calasancio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villegas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Calasancio conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Villegas scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Solid form: Villegas remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Villegas VS Calasancio
1.25 Goals Scored 1.17
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Villegas

(Home)
10 May
Comillas CF
1 : 0
Villegas
03 May
Villegas
1 : 1
Vianes
26 Apr
Arnedo
2 : 1
Villegas
18 Apr
Villegas
2 : 2
San Marcial
12 Apr
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 2
Villegas
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Calasancio

(Away)
04 Oct
Calasancio
2 : 1
Casalarreina CF
27 Sept
CD Calahorra
5 : 0
Calasancio
18 Sept
Calasancio
0 : 0
Anguiano
13 Sept
Haro Deportivo
4 : 3
Calasancio
06 Sept
Calasancio
2 : 2
Alfaro
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