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Stadium Background

Villegas vs CD Calahorra

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Dios J.
25' Event
Cano J.
57' Event
Perez I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 game between Villegas and CD Calahorra finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Calahorra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Villegas
20%
Draws
65%
CD Calahorra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Calahorra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • CD Calahorra carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives CD Calahorra a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • CD Calahorra have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Villegas Clean Sheet 10%
CD Calahorra Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villegas CD Calahorra
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 19 6
Goals Scored 1.07 2.48
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.16
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Villegas vs CD Calahorra
1:4
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CD Calahorra vs Villegas
7:0
Jan 14, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Villegas vs CD Calahorra
0:5
Aug 27, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CD Calahorra vs Villegas
4:0
Jan 22, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CD Calahorra vs Villegas
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villegas Compare

Top Goalscorer Carretero A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

CD Calahorra Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dios J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.96
Avg xA / game 1.2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villegas 10 / 100
CD Calahorra 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villegas CD Calahorra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Calahorra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Villegas scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

CD Calahorra has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Villegas has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Villegas VS CD Calahorra
1 Goals Scored 2.75
1.57 Goals Conceded 1.13
71% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Villegas

(Home)
10 May
Comillas CF
1 : 0
Villegas
03 May
Villegas
1 : 1
Vianes
26 Apr
Arnedo
2 : 1
Villegas
18 Apr
Villegas
2 : 2
San Marcial
12 Apr
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 2
Villegas
Page 1 of 6

CD Calahorra

(Away)
27 Sept
CD Calahorra
5 : 0
Calasancio
18 Sept
Agoncillo
3 : 5
CD Calahorra
13 Sept
CD Calahorra
2 : 0
Oyonesa
06 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
2 : 1
CD Calahorra
24 May
Arnedo
1 : 0
CD Calahorra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)