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Vilniaus Vytis vs FBK Kaunas

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vilniaus Vytis play FBK Kaunas in the I Lyga 2016. Vilniaus Vytis are favorites here. Recently, Vilniaus Vytis averaged 2.66 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. FBK Kaunas averaged 0.83 goals scored and 4.47 conceded. In past meetings, Vilniaus Vytis won 2, FBK Kaunas won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 6, 2016 ended 10:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.73 for Vilniaus Vytis and 0.75 for FBK Kaunas. This points to a Vilniaus Vytis double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Vilniaus Vytis
15%
Draws
11%
FBK Kaunas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vilniaus Vytis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Vilniaus Vytis picked up more points recently compared to FBK Kaunas.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.73 vs 0.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Vilniaus Vytis Clean Sheet 27%
FBK Kaunas Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilniaus Vytis FBK Kaunas
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 18 4
Draws 3 1
Losses 11 25
Goals Scored 2.66 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.66 4.47

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2016 I Lyga
Vilniaus Vytis vs FBK Kaunas
10:0
May 14, 2016 I Lyga
FBK Kaunas vs Vilniaus Vytis
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vilniaus Vytis Compare

Top Goalscorer Misiunas T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tamaliunas A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

FBK Kaunas Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilniaus Vytis 72 / 100
FBK Kaunas 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilniaus Vytis FBK Kaunas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vilniaus Vytis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Vilniaus Vytis & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.5%
1.52
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.7%
1.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vilniaus Vytis attacking → ← attacking FBK Kaunas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vilniaus Vytis scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

FBK Kaunas let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Vilniaus Vytis went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

FBK Kaunas lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

57 Points in last 5 13
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Marijampole City30233495:2572
2Palanga30217296:2970
3Vilniaus Vytis301938102:3460
4Nevezis Kedainiai30179476:3860
5FK Panevezys30178568:3559
6Banga30157862:3152
7Dziugas Telsiai301531251:4448
8Zalgiris 2301431362:6145
9Dainava Alytus301341357:4643
10FC Hegelmann301331455:5642
11Riteriai 230931844:5930
12Silute30861638:6030
13FK Krazante Kelme30841847:8628
14Lokomotyvas Radviliskis30651942:8623
15FBK Kaunas30412525:13413
16FK Minija30312627:12310