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Viltis Vilnius vs Dziugas Telsiai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Nuno Pereira
22' Event
Ankudinovas L.
30' Event
Lubas J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-6, with Dziugas Telsiai advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Viltis Vilnius
15%
Draws
21%
Dziugas Telsiai
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Viltis Vilnius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dziugas Telsiai come out ahead of Viltis Vilnius on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Dziugas Telsiai arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Dziugas Telsiai, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Viltis Vilnius Clean Sheet 16%
Dziugas Telsiai Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Viltis Vilnius Dziugas Telsiai
Matches Played 19 34
Wins 5 17
Draws 0 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1.68
Goals Conceded 2.95 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2023 Lithuanian Cup
Viltis Vilnius vs Dziugas Telsiai
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Viltis Vilnius Compare

Top Goalscorer Valukonis T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Dziugas Telsiai Compare

Top Goalscorer Nuno Pereira
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ankudinovas L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Viltis Vilnius 36 / 100
Dziugas Telsiai 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Viltis Vilnius Dziugas Telsiai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dziugas Telsiai Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Viltis Vilnius found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (19 games).

Dziugas Telsiai's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Dziugas Telsiai has conceded goals in 59% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dziugas Telsiai
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Viltis Vilnius

(Home)
28 Apr
Viltis Vilnius
1 : 7
Dainava Alytus
08 May
Viltis Vilnius
1 : 2
Nevezis Kedainiai
30 May
Viltis Vilnius
1 : 6
Dziugas Telsiai
05 May
Granitas Vilnius
1 : 2
Viltis Vilnius
06 May
Tauras Taurage
2 : 1
Viltis Vilnius
Page 1 of 4

Dziugas Telsiai

(Away)
19 Sept
Banga
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
06 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
31 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
2 : 2
FC Hegelmann
23 Aug
Zalgiris
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
17 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
0 : 2
Suduva
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Trivartis Vilnius 0
Navigatoriai Vilnius 8
Transinvest 5
Nevezis Kedainiai 1
Vova Vilnius 0
Marijampole City 3
FK Babrungas 0
Banga 3
Granitas Vilnius 1
Viltis Vilnius 2
Silute 0
Dziugas Telsiai 5
Neptunas 2
FK Panevezys 1
Ukmerge 0
Suduva 3
Garliava 1
BE1 NFA 2
FA Siauliai 2
Dainava Alytus 1
FK Atmosfera 0
FC Hegelmann 4
Ataka Vilnius 0
Riteriai 9
Klaipedos FM 3
Jonava 0
Fortuna Kaunas 0
BFA Vilnius 6
FK Dembava 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 6
AFK Vilnius 0
Zalgiris 6
1/8-finals
Navigatoriai Vilnius 0
Transinvest 3
Marijampole City 1
Banga 4
Viltis Vilnius 1
Dziugas Telsiai 6
Neptunas 0
Suduva 2
BE1 NFA 0
FA Siauliai 2
FC Hegelmann 0
Riteriai 3
Klaipedos FM 1
BFA Vilnius 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris 3
Zalgiris 0
Quarter-finals
Transinvest 2
Banga 1
Dziugas Telsiai 1
Suduva 0
FA Siauliai 2
Riteriai 0
BFA Vilnius 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 5
Semi-finals
Transinvest 1
Dziugas Telsiai 0
FA Siauliai 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
Final
Transinvest 2
FA Siauliai 1