Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vilzing vs Holzkirchen

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Süd 2018/2019 game between Vilzing and Holzkirchen finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vilzing.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Vilzing
15%
Draws
17%
Holzkirchen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vilzing

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vilzing come out ahead of Holzkirchen on wins alone.
  • Vilzing are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Vilzing Clean Sheet 15%
Holzkirchen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilzing Holzkirchen
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 3
Draws 3 2
Losses 8 25
Goals Scored 2.03 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.14 3.2
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2019 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Vilzing vs Holzkirchen
1:0
Oct 6, 2018 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Holzkirchen vs Vilzing
0:3
Nov 4, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Vilzing vs Holzkirchen
2:2
Jul 22, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Holzkirchen vs Vilzing
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilzing 84 / 100
Holzkirchen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilzing Holzkirchen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vilzing Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Holzkirchen conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Vilzing scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Vilzing went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vilzing VS Holzkirchen
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 9
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Vilzing

(Home)
14 Aug
Augsburg II
3 : 1
Vilzing
08 Aug
Vilzing
1 : 0
Furth II
31 Jul
Eltersdorf
0 : 1
Vilzing
24 Jul
Vilzing
3 : 1
Nurnberg II
15 Jul
Regensburg
2 : 3
Vilzing
Page 1 of 6

Holzkirchen

(Away)
12 Jul
Unterhaching
9 : 2
Holzkirchen
02 Feb
Heimstetten
9 : 1
Holzkirchen
22 Jan
TSV 1860 Rosenheim
3 : 1
Holzkirchen
06 Jul
TSV 1880 Wasserburg
0 : 1
Holzkirchen
11 May
Holzkirchen
0 : 2
Nordlingen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Turkgucu Munchen 32 21 5 6 59:30 68
2 Rain/Lech 32 16 10 6 60:42 58
3 Regensburg II 32 15 8 9 69:48 53
4 Pullach 32 17 2 13 52:48 53
5 Vilzing 32 14 9 9 47:36 51
6 Dachau 32 14 7 11 47:45 49
7 Kottern-St. Mang 32 12 10 10 46:47 46
8 TSV Schwabmunchen 32 14 3 15 57:52 45
9 Nordlingen 32 11 12 9 53:55 45
10 Munich 1860 II 32 13 6 13 58:48 45
11 Kirchanschoring 32 11 11 10 51:47 44
12 TSV Schwaben Augsburg 32 11 10 11 41:44 43
13 Hankofen-Hailing 32 10 9 13 47:50 39
14 Sonthofen 32 10 8 14 54:64 38
15 Ismaning 32 10 7 15 45:51 37
16 Unterfohring 32 6 10 16 41:59 28
17 Holzkirchen 32 2 3 27 30:91 9
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2019/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019 (Play Offs)