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Vindava vs Jelgava

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2007
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vindava in this 1. Liga 2007 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vindava.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Vindava
20%
Draws
0%
Jelgava
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vindava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jelgava lately — more wins on the board than Vindava.
  • Vindava are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Vindava Clean Sheet 20%
Jelgava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vindava Jelgava
Matches Played 32 51
Wins 11 18
Draws 9 14
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.03 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2007 1. Liga
Vindava vs Jelgava
1:0
Jun 10, 2007 1. Liga
Jelgava vs Vindava
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vindava 49 / 100
Jelgava 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vindava Jelgava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vindava Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jelgava lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Vindava's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Jelgava has conceded goals in 78% of their last 51 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jelgava
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vindava

(Home)
08 Nov
Blazma
2 : 2
Vindava
02 Nov
FK Daugava Riga
0 : 0
Vindava
25 Oct
Olimps Riga
5 : 1
Vindava
18 Oct
Vindava
1 : 2
Blazma
05 Oct
Vindava
2 : 1
FK Daugava Riga
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Jelgava

(Away)
09 Aug
Jelgava
0 : 1
FK Auda Riga
01 Aug
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 1
Jelgava
26 Jul
Jelgava
0 : 2
FK Liepaja
20 Jul
Jelgava
0 : 1
RFS
12 Jul
RFS
2 : 0
Jelgava
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