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Vinhais vs Celoricense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vinhais host Celoricense in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group A. Celoricense are expected to control this from the start. Vinhais have averaged 0.54 scored and 3.38 conceded recently, against Celoricense's 0.97 scored and 0.9 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 2.06) point toward Celoricense. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Vinhais
20%
Draws
80%
Celoricense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Celoricense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Celoricense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Celoricense a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Vinhais Clean Sheet 10%
Celoricense Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vinhais Celoricense
Matches Played 13 30
Wins 0 11
Draws 0 12
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 0.54 0.97
Goals Conceded 3.38 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vinhais 10 / 100
Celoricense 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vinhais Celoricense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celoricense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Celoricense registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Vinhais scored in 54% of their last 13 outings.

Celoricense has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vinhais VS Celoricense
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 38%
88% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vinhais

(Home)
01 Nov
Ponte da Barca
2 : 1
Vinhais
25 Oct
Rebordosa
8 : 0
Vinhais
11 Oct
Vinhais
1 : 2
AD Limianos
20 Sept
Fatima
4 : 1
Vinhais
13 Sept
Vila Mea
4 : 0
Vinhais
Page 1 of 3

Celoricense

(Away)
01 Nov
Celoricense
0 : 0
Rebordosa
25 Oct
AD Limianos
3 : 2
Celoricense
11 Oct
Celoricense
0 : 0
Vila Mea
20 Sept
GD Braganca
6 : 1
Celoricense
13 Sept
Chaves B
1 : 0
Celoricense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Limianos 7 5 2 0 17:10 17
2 Braga B 7 4 3 0 14:7 15
3 GD Braganca 7 4 1 2 9:6 13
4 CDC Montalegre 7 3 3 1 9:4 12
5 Tirsense 7 4 0 3 13:10 12
6 Chaves B 7 4 0 3 9:6 12
7 Ponte da Barca 7 3 1 3 7:9 10
8 Rebordosa 7 2 3 2 10:3 9
9 Celoricense 7 2 3 2 5:5 9
10 Vila Mea 7 2 3 2 10:8 9
11 Maia Lidador 7 2 2 3 9:9 8
12 Brito 7 2 0 5 9:17 6
13 Maria de Fonte 7 1 1 5 4:12 4
14 Vinhais 7 0 0 7 3:22 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)