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Vinhais vs Chaves B

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Sun, Sep 6, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vinhais host Chaves B in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group A. Chaves B are expected to control this from the start. Vinhais have averaged 0.43 scored and 3.14 conceded recently, against Chaves B's 1.6 scored and 1.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Chaves B slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 9, 2018, ending 1:6. The numbers (1.17 xG vs 0.92) point toward Chaves B. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Vinhais
20%
Draws
80%
Chaves B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chaves B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Chaves B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Chaves B a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Vinhais Clean Sheet 20%
Chaves B Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vinhais Chaves B
Matches Played 7 30
Wins 0 11
Draws 0 9
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 0.43 1.6
Goals Conceded 3.14 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2018 Taça de Portugal
Vinhais vs Chaves B
1:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vinhais 12 / 100
Chaves B 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vinhais Chaves B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chaves B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Chaves B has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Vinhais scored in 43% of their last 7 outings.

Away concern: Chaves B has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vinhais VS Chaves B
0 Goals Scored 0.5
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.13
33% Over 1.5 50%
33% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vinhais

(Home)
23 Aug
Tirsense
3 : 0
Vinhais
16 Aug
Vinhais
0 : 1
Maria de Fonte
21 Sept
Anca
3 : 1
Vinhais
08 Sept
SC Vianense
2 : 1
Vinhais
11 Sept
Vinhais
0 : 4
SC Vianense
Page 1 of 2

Chaves B

(Away)
23 Aug
Chaves B
1 : 0
Rebordosa
16 Aug
AD Limianos
3 : 1
Chaves B
08 Jul
Chaves
1 : 0
Chaves B
18 Apr
Tirsense
1 : 1
Chaves B
12 Apr
Chaves B
1 : 1
GD Braganca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tirsense 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 AD Limianos 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
3 CDC Montalegre 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
4 Vila Mea 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
5 GD Braganca 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
6 Braga B 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 Celoricense 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
8 Ponte da Barca 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Maria de Fonte 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Chaves B 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
11 Maia Lidador 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
12 Rebordosa 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
13 Brito 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
14 Vinhais 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)