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Vinhais vs Chaves B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Jardim K.
41' Event
Santos J.
87' Event
Djalo A.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A game between Vinhais and Chaves B finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chaves B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Vinhais
15%
Draws
85%
Chaves B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chaves B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Chaves B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Chaves B a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Vinhais Clean Sheet 10%
Chaves B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vinhais Chaves B
Matches Played 13 30
Wins 0 11
Draws 0 8
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.54 1.53
Goals Conceded 3.38 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vinhais vs Chaves B
1:2
Sep 9, 2018 Taça de Portugal
Vinhais vs Chaves B
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vinhais Compare

Top Goalscorer Jardim K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Chaves B Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Djalo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vinhais 10 / 100
Chaves B 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vinhais Chaves B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chaves B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Chaves B has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Vinhais scored in 54% of their last 13 outings.

Away concern: Chaves B has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vinhais VS Chaves B
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
3.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vinhais

(Home)
01 Nov
Ponte da Barca
2 : 1
Vinhais
25 Oct
Rebordosa
8 : 0
Vinhais
11 Oct
Vinhais
1 : 2
AD Limianos
20 Sept
Fatima
4 : 1
Vinhais
13 Sept
Vila Mea
4 : 0
Vinhais
Page 1 of 3

Chaves B

(Away)
01 Nov
Maia Lidador
1 : 0
Chaves B
25 Oct
Chaves B
0 : 1
Braga B
11 Oct
Brito
0 : 4
Chaves B
13 Sept
Chaves B
1 : 0
Celoricense
06 Sept
Vinhais
1 : 2
Chaves B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Limianos 7 5 2 0 17:10 17
2 Braga B 7 4 3 0 14:7 15
3 GD Braganca 7 4 1 2 9:6 13
4 CDC Montalegre 7 3 3 1 9:4 12
5 Tirsense 7 4 0 3 13:10 12
6 Chaves B 7 4 0 3 9:6 12
7 Ponte da Barca 7 3 1 3 7:9 10
8 Rebordosa 7 2 3 2 10:3 9
9 Celoricense 7 2 3 2 5:5 9
10 Vila Mea 7 2 3 2 10:8 9
11 Maia Lidador 7 2 2 3 9:9 8
12 Brito 7 2 0 5 9:17 6
13 Maria de Fonte 7 1 1 5 4:12 4
14 Vinhais 7 0 0 7 3:22 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)