Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vinhais vs Nacional

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Rodrigues D.
Own Goal
50' Event
Witiness J.
89' Event
Rouai M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Nacional advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Vinhais
15%
Draws
85%
Nacional
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nacional

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Nacional carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Nacional are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Nacional arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nacional, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Vinhais Clean Sheet 10%
Nacional Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vinhais Nacional
Matches Played 10 31
Wins 0 7
Draws 0 6
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 0.5 1
Goals Conceded 3.2 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.89 1.84
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2021 Taça de Portugal
Vinhais vs Nacional
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vinhais Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.45

Nacional Compare

Top Goalscorer Witiness J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rouai M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.67
Avg xA / game 1.02

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vinhais 22 / 100
Nacional 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vinhais Nacional

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nacional Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Nacional registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Nacional let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Vinhais scored in 50% of their last 10 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vinhais VS Nacional
0.4 Goals Scored 0.88
2.8 Goals Conceded 1.38
80% Over 1.5 75%
80% Over 2.5 25%
40% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vinhais

(Home)
20 Sept
Fatima
4 : 1
Vinhais
13 Sept
Vila Mea
4 : 0
Vinhais
06 Sept
Vinhais
1 : 2
Chaves B
23 Aug
Tirsense
3 : 0
Vinhais
16 Aug
Vinhais
0 : 1
Maria de Fonte
Page 1 of 2

Nacional

(Away)
19 Sept
Nacional
0 : 4
Famalicao
12 Sept
Nacional
1 : 3
Alverca
05 Sept
Sporting CP
2 : 0
Nacional
30 Aug
Nacional
2 : 3
Estrela da Amadora
23 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes
1 : 0
Nacional
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
SC Pombal -
TBD -
Leca 1
Lusitania FC 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arouca -
Condeixa -
TBD -
TBD -
Esperanca de Lagos -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Estrela Vendas Novas -
TBD -
Pedroso 0
Paredes 2
Ferreira de Aves -
TBD -
TBD -
Academico Viseu -
GD Fontinhas -
TBD -
TBD -
Torreense -
O Elvas CAD 0
Sacavenense 2
SC Mirandela 0
AD Fafe 1
SC Praiense 0
Sporting Ideal 1
TBD -
Valadares Gaia FC -
Canelas 2010 12
Regua 0
TBD -
Casa Pia -
Rebordelo -
TBD -
Moimenta da Beira 2
Cinfaes 3
Sao Roque -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Farense -
CF Os Belenenses -
TBD -
TBD -
Pero Pinheiro -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Oleiros -
TBD -
TBD -
Varzim -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maritimo -
SC Vianense 2
Ancora Praia 1
TBD -
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vizela -
Culatrense 1
Louletano 2
Gondomar 2
SC Salgueiros 3
Ferreiras 1
Penedo Gordo 0
TBD -
Estrela da Amadora -
Moitense -
TBD -
Anca 1
Sanjoanense 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braga -
Moncarapachense 1
Industria 2
TBD -
Leiria -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Gloria Ribatejo 0
Sintrense 4
Macedo de Cavaleiros 1
Forjaes 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Porto -
Vila Mea 4
Amarante FC 3
TBD -
Feirense -
Vinhais -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional -
Pevidem -
TBD -
TBD -
Trofense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
Estarreja 1
Aguias do Moradal 2
Damaiense 3
SC Lusitania 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Vila Velha 0
Vitoria Sernache 3
TBD -
Rio Ave -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boavista -
CD Rabo Peixe -
TBD -
Castro Daire 1
Trancoso 0
Olhanense 1
Juv. Evora 0
Santa Cruz Alvarenga 3
CD Gouveia 1
Uniao Lamas 1
SC Espinho 2
Valenciano 2
Merelinense 4
Abrantes Benfica 2
Caldas SC 4
Pinhalnovense 0
Amora 2
AD Limianos 3
CDC Montalegre 2
Berco 2
GD Joane 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BSAD -
Santa Marta Penaguiao 0
Camacha 3
TBD -
Ribeirao -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tondela -
Sao Joao de Ver -
TBD -
TBD -
Leixoes -
Uniao Montemor -
TBD -
TBD -
Vilaverdense FC -
Serpa -
TBD -
TBD -
Olivais e Moscavide -
Marinhense 1
UC Idanhense 2
TBD -
Covilha -
FC Felgueiras 3
Camara de Lobos 0
TBD -
Chaves -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Estoril -
Alverca 6
Electrico FC 0
SC Vila Real 2
Tirsense 1
Anadia -
TBD -
TBD -
GD Coruchense -
FC Alpendorada -
TBD -
TBD -
Academica -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Famalicao -
Machico 0
Sao Martinho 5
SB Castelo Branco 1
Mata Mourisquense 0
Cerva 1
Maria de Fonte 3
TBD -
Penafiel -
Oliveirense 6
Guarda Desportiva 0
Arronches Benfica 4
Vasco da Gama P. Delgada 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portimonense -
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 1
Imortal 2
TBD -
Vilafranquense -
Real SC 1
FC Barreirense 0
TBD -
Cova De Piedade -
Sertanense 2
GD Peniche 0
TBD -
Mafra -
Vigor Mocidade 0
Uniao de Coimbra 1
TBD -
Graciosa FC -
Santarem 0
GS Loures 1
Lusitano GC 1
Oriental Dragon 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moreirense -
Oliveira Hospital -
TBD -
TBD -
U. Madeira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
1/64-finals
SC Pombal 0
Leca 4
TBD -
Arouca -
Condeixa 4
Esperanca de Lagos 3
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Estrela Vendas Novas 0
Paredes 2
Ferreira de Aves 0
Academico Viseu 1
GD Fontinhas 0
Torreense 1
Sacavenense 0
AD Fafe 4
Sporting Ideal 0
Valadares Gaia FC 3
Canelas 2010 2
Casa Pia 4
Rebordelo 1
Cinfaes 2
Sao Roque 0
SC Farense 3
CF Os Belenenses 5
Pero Pinheiro 3
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Oleiros 0
Varzim 2
TBD -
Maritimo -
SC Vianense 0
Vitoria Setubal 2
TBD -
Vizela -
Louletano 3
SC Salgueiros 1
Ferreiras 0
Estrela da Amadora 3
Moitense 2
Anca 1
TBD -
Braga -
Industria 1
Leiria 2
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Sintrense 2
Macedo de Cavaleiros 1
TBD -
FC Porto -
Vila Mea 1
Feirense 5
Vinhais 0
Nacional 3
Pevidem 1
Trofense 3
TBD -
Benfica -
Aguias do Moradal 2
Damaiense 1
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Vitoria Sernache 1
Rio Ave 3
TBD -
Boavista -
CD Rabo Peixe 2
Castro Daire 3
Olhanense 1
Santa Cruz Alvarenga 0
SC Espinho 1
Merelinense 0
Caldas SC 1
Amora 0
AD Limianos 0
Berco 1
TBD -
BSAD -
Camacha 6
Ribeirao 1
TBD -
Tondela -
Sao Joao de Ver 1
Leixoes 3
Uniao Montemor 0
Vilaverdense FC 2
Serpa 4
Olivais e Moscavide 0
UC Idanhense 0
Covilha 2
FC Felgueiras 2
Chaves 0
TBD -
Estoril -
Alverca 3
SC Vila Real 1
Anadia 3
GD Coruchense 1
FC Alpendorada 1
Academica 2
TBD -
Famalicao -
Sao Martinho 0
SB Castelo Branco 1
Maria de Fonte 0
Penafiel 1
Oliveirense 3
Arronches Benfica 0
TBD -
Portimonense -
Imortal 0
Vilafranquense 2
Real SC 2
Cova De Piedade 1
Sertanense 0
Mafra 1
Uniao de Coimbra 2
Graciosa FC 1
GS Loures 2
Oriental Dragon 3
TBD -
Moreirense -
Oliveira Hospital 5
U. Madeira 0
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
1/32-finals
Leca 2
Arouca 1
Condeixa 0
Gil Vicente 5
Paredes 3
Academico Viseu 1
Torreense 2
AD Fafe 1
Valadares Gaia FC 1
Casa Pia 3
Cinfaes 0
SC Farense 4
CF Os Belenenses 0
Sporting CP 4
Varzim 3
Maritimo 2
Vitoria Setubal 0
Vizela 2
Louletano 1
Estrela da Amadora 2
Moitense 0
Braga 5
Leiria 0
Santa Clara 2
Sintrense 0
FC Porto 5
Feirense 3
Nacional 1
Trofense 1
Benfica 2
Aguias do Moradal 0
Pacos Ferreira 3
Rio Ave 4
Boavista 0
Castro Daire 2
Olhanense 3
SC Espinho 0
Caldas SC 1
Berco 1
BSAD 2
Camacha 1
Tondela 2
Leixoes 5
Vilaverdense FC 1
Serpa 1
Covilha 0
FC Felgueiras 0
Estoril 1
Alverca 4
Anadia 1
Academica 0
Famalicao 4
SB Castelo Branco 1
Penafiel 2
Oliveirense 3
Portimonense 4
Vilafranquense 3
Real SC 2
Mafra 3
Uniao de Coimbra 0
Oriental Dragon 2
Moreirense 3
Oliveira Hospital 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
1/16-finals
Leca 1
Gil Vicente 0
Paredes 1
Torreense 0
Casa Pia 3
SC Farense 1
Sporting CP 2
Varzim 1
Vizela 2
Estrela da Amadora 0
Braga 6
Santa Clara 0
FC Porto 5
Feirense 1
Benfica 4
Pacos Ferreira 1
Rio Ave 2
Olhanense 1
Caldas SC 3
BSAD 5
Tondela 3
Leixoes 1
Serpa 0
Estoril 5
Alverca 1
Famalicao 2
Penafiel 0
Portimonense 3
Vilafranquense 0
Mafra 1
Moreirense 3
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
1/8-finals
Leca 2
Paredes 1
Casa Pia 1
Sporting CP 2
Vizela 1
Braga 0
FC Porto 3
Benfica 0
Rio Ave 2
BSAD 1
Tondela 3
Estoril 1
Famalicao 1
Portimonense 2
Mafra 3
Moreirense 1
Quarter-finals
Leca 0
Sporting CP 4
Vizela 1
FC Porto 3
Rio Ave 0
Tondela 1
Portimonense 2
Mafra 4
Semi-finals
Sporting CP 1
FC Porto 3
Tondela 4
Mafra 1
Final
FC Porto 3
Tondela 1