Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vinodol vs Crikvenica

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL West game between Vinodol and Crikvenica finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crikvenica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Vinodol
15%
Draws
54%
Crikvenica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crikvenica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Crikvenica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Crikvenica's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Crikvenica have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Vinodol Clean Sheet 15%
Crikvenica Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vinodol Crikvenica
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 21
Draws 9 3
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.32 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.94 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2022 3. HNL West
Vinodol vs Crikvenica
0:1
Nov 13, 2021 3. HNL West
Crikvenica vs Vinodol
2:1
May 15, 2021 3. HNL West
Crikvenica vs Vinodol
2:1
Oct 31, 2020 3. HNL West
Vinodol vs Crikvenica
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vinodol 23 / 100
Crikvenica 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vinodol Crikvenica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crikvenica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vinodol scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Vinodol remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Crikvenica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vinodol VS Crikvenica
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vinodol

(Home)
29 Jul
Vinodol
0 : 1
Grobnican
28 May
Novigrad
3 : 4
Vinodol
21 May
Vinodol
0 : 1
Crikvenica
14 May
Uljanik Pula
3 : 3
Vinodol
07 May
Vinodol
1 : 0
Cres
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Crikvenica

(Away)
28 May
Crikvenica
2 : 0
Buje
21 May
Vinodol
0 : 1
Crikvenica
14 May
Crikvenica
2 : 0
Jadran Porec
07 May
Rudar Labin
1 : 3
Crikvenica
30 Apr
Crikvenica
1 : 3
Krk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crikvenica 26 18 2 6 53:24 56
2 Grobnican 26 16 7 3 66:23 55
3 Jadran Porec 26 16 6 4 59:22 53
4 Pazinka 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
5 Krk 26 12 3 11 40:42 39
6 Uljanik Pula 26 10 7 9 44:32 37
7 Novigrad 26 10 6 10 39:39 36
8 Rudar Labin 26 11 3 12 37:39 36
9 Cres 26 8 5 13 36:44 29
10 Nehaj Senj 26 7 8 11 26:40 29
11 Buje 26 9 2 15 22:36 29
12 NK Pomorac 26 7 5 14 32:62 26
13 Vinodol 26 5 9 12 31:47 24
14 Naprijed Hreljin 26 5 4 17 24:57 19
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)