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Vinodol vs Grobnican

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL West game between Vinodol and Grobnican finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vinodol
20%
Draws
40%
Grobnican
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Vinodol haven't matched Grobnican's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular 3. HNL West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Vinodol Clean Sheet 14%
Grobnican Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vinodol Grobnican
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 11
Draws 9 9
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.33 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2023 Club Friendly
Vinodol vs Grobnican
0:1
Mar 12, 2022 3. HNL West
Vinodol vs Grobnican
3:3
Sep 4, 2021 3. HNL West
Grobnican vs Vinodol
4:0
Apr 3, 2021 3. HNL West
Grobnican vs Vinodol
5:0
Sep 19, 2020 3. HNL West
Vinodol vs Grobnican
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vinodol 30 / 100
Grobnican 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vinodol Grobnican

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vinodol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Vinodol's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Grobnican's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Vinodol has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Grobnican
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vinodol

(Home)
29 Jul
Vinodol
0 : 1
Grobnican
28 May
Novigrad
3 : 4
Vinodol
21 May
Vinodol
0 : 1
Crikvenica
14 May
Uljanik Pula
3 : 3
Vinodol
07 May
Vinodol
1 : 0
Cres
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Grobnican

(Away)
19 Sept
Grobnican
5 : 1
NK Koprivnica
12 Sept
Bjelovar
4 : 0
Grobnican
05 Sept
Grobnican
2 : 2
NK Inker Zapresic
29 Aug
Grobnican
1 : 0
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
22 Aug
Grobnican
0 : 3
Uskok Klis
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crikvenica 26 18 2 6 53:24 56
2 Grobnican 26 16 7 3 66:23 55
3 Jadran Porec 26 16 6 4 59:22 53
4 Pazinka 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
5 Krk 26 12 3 11 40:42 39
6 Uljanik Pula 26 10 7 9 44:32 37
7 Novigrad 26 10 6 10 39:39 36
8 Rudar Labin 26 11 3 12 37:39 36
9 Cres 26 8 5 13 36:44 29
10 Nehaj Senj 26 7 8 11 26:40 29
11 Buje 26 9 2 15 22:36 29
12 NK Pomorac 26 7 5 14 32:62 26
13 Vinodol 26 5 9 12 31:47 24
14 Naprijed Hreljin 26 5 4 17 24:57 19
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)