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Vinodol vs Krk

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL West game between Vinodol and Krk finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Vinodol
20%
Draws
10%
Krk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vinodol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Vinodol haven't matched Krk's recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Vinodol taking it.
  • Regular 3. HNL West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Vinodol Clean Sheet 20%
Krk Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vinodol Krk
Matches Played 31 45
Wins 6 13
Draws 9 11
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 1.32 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2022 3. HNL West
Vinodol vs Krk
2:2
Sep 11, 2021 3. HNL West
Krk vs Vinodol
1:1
May 1, 2021 3. HNL West
Krk vs Vinodol
1:3
Oct 17, 2020 3. HNL West
Vinodol vs Krk
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vinodol 40 / 100
Krk 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vinodol Krk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vinodol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Krk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 45 matches.

Attacking prowess: Vinodol scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Vinodol has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Krk
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vinodol

(Home)
29 Jul
Vinodol
0 : 1
Grobnican
28 May
Novigrad
3 : 4
Vinodol
21 May
Vinodol
0 : 1
Crikvenica
14 May
Uljanik Pula
3 : 3
Vinodol
07 May
Vinodol
1 : 0
Cres
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Krk

(Away)
01 Jun
Krk
2 : 3
Jadran Luka Ploce
25 May
Trnje
2 : 1
Krk
18 May
Krk
0 : 1
Mladost Zdralovi
11 May
Radnik Krizevci
2 : 1
Krk
04 May
Krk
2 : 2
Dragovoljac
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crikvenica 26 18 2 6 53:24 56
2 Grobnican 26 16 7 3 66:23 55
3 Jadran Porec 26 16 6 4 59:22 53
4 Pazinka 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
5 Krk 26 12 3 11 40:42 39
6 Uljanik Pula 26 10 7 9 44:32 37
7 Novigrad 26 10 6 10 39:39 36
8 Rudar Labin 26 11 3 12 37:39 36
9 Cres 26 8 5 13 36:44 29
10 Nehaj Senj 26 7 8 11 26:40 29
11 Buje 26 9 2 15 22:36 29
12 NK Pomorac 26 7 5 14 32:62 26
13 Vinodol 26 5 9 12 31:47 24
14 Naprijed Hreljin 26 5 4 17 24:57 19
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)