Sport Picks
Vinotinto vs Independiente Juniors
Ecuador
Serie B Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito 
Match Events
8'
8'
Perez Tica J.
35'
35'
Segovia J.
38'
38'
Arcos J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
20%
20%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vinotinto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
60%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Vinotinto lately — more wins on the board than Independiente Juniors.
- Win probability leans Vinotinto's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Vinotinto Clean Sheet 68%
Independiente Juniors Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vinotinto | Independiente Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 8 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 24, 2026 Serie B
Independiente Juniors vs Vinotinto
2:3
Jul 23, 2026 Serie B
Independiente Juniors vs Vinotinto
2:0
May 3, 2026 Serie B
Vinotinto vs Independiente Juniors
2:2
Oct 30, 2024 Serie B
Vinotinto vs Independiente Juniors
3:2
Jul 11, 2024 Serie B
Independiente Juniors vs Vinotinto
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vinotinto Compare
Top Goalscorer Segovia J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ona C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Independiente Juniors Compare
Top Goalscorer Perez Tica J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Arcos J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vinotinto 95 / 100
Independiente Juniors 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vinotinto Independiente Juniors
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vinotinto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Vinotinto remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Vinotinto found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Independiente Juniors's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Vinotinto VS Independiente Juniors
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Vinotinto
(Home) 24 Sept
Independiente Juniors
2 : 3 Vinotinto
17 Sept
Vinotinto
1 : 0 Nueve de Octubre
11 Sept
CD Cuenca Juniors
0 : 2 Vinotinto
03 Sept
Vinotinto
4 : 2 San Antonio
27 Aug
Vinotinto
1 : 0 Atletico FC
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Vinotinto
1 : 0 Nueve de Octubre
03 Sept
Vinotinto
4 : 2 San Antonio
27 Aug
Vinotinto
1 : 0 Atletico FC
13 Aug
Vinotinto
0 : 0 LDU Portoviejo
05 Aug
Vinotinto
2 : 3 U. Catolica
Page 1 of 3
Independiente Juniors
(Away) 24 Sept
Independiente Juniors
2 : 3 Vinotinto
17 Sept
Independiente Juniors
1 : 1 Atletico FC
12 Sept
Nueve de Octubre
3 : 1 Independiente Juniors
04 Sept
Independiente Juniors
1 : 0 CD Cuenca Juniors
27 Aug
San Antonio
0 : 0 Independiente Juniors
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Nueve de Octubre
3 : 1 Independiente Juniors
27 Aug
San Antonio
0 : 0 Independiente Juniors
15 Aug
Nueve de Octubre
2 : 2 Independiente Juniors
01 Aug
Gualaceo
2 : 3 Independiente Juniors
17 Jul
LDU Portoviejo
0 : 1 Independiente Juniors
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Juniors | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 28:16 | 39 |
| 2 | Atletico FC | 22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 25:14 | 38 |
| 3 | Nueve de Octubre | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 22:14 | 37 |
| 4 | CD Cuenca Juniors | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 20:23 | 34 |
| 5 | Vinotinto | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 25:17 | 31 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 24:21 | 31 |
| 7 | LDU Portoviejo | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 17:22 | 27 |
| 8 | Cumbaya | 22 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 22:22 | 26 |
| 9 | Dep. Santo Domingo | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 17:16 | 25 |
| 10 | Gualaceo | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 19:16 | 23 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 15:32 | 9 |
| 12 | 22 de Julio | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 10:31 | 9 |
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)
