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Violette vs Club Leon

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Champions League 2023 Estadio Cibao FC, Santiago
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Chery M.
Assist: Louima R.
26' Event
Chery M.
Assist: Saba S.
30' Event
Rubio B.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Violette advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Violette
15%
Draws
47%
Club Leon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Club Leon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Violette carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Violette are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Violette have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Violette, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Violette Clean Sheet 10%
Club Leon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Violette Club Leon
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 16
Draws 5 1
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.55 1.77
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2023 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Violette vs Club Leon
2:1
Apr 5, 2023 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Club Leon vs Violette
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Violette Compare

Top Goalscorer Chery M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Club Leon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Violette 38 / 100
Club Leon 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Violette Club Leon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Violette Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Leon has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Violette scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Violette went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Violette VS Club Leon
2 Goals Scored 2.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Violette

(Home)
19 Aug
Delfines Del Este
0 : 1
Violette
05 Aug
Violette
3 : 0
Defence Force
28 May
Violette
2 : 0
America des Cayes
25 May
Violette
3 : 2
Don Bosco
22 May
Violette
0 : 1
Juventus
Page 1 of 6

Club Leon

(Away)
22 Aug
Club Leon
2 : 0
Monterrey
18 Aug
Necaxa
1 : 2
Club Leon
12 Aug
Inter Miami
2 : 3
Club Leon
08 Aug
Orlando City
1 : 2
Club Leon
06 Aug
Nashville SC
0 : 1
Club Leon
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Austin FC 2
Violette 3
Club Leon 3
Tauro 0
Orlando City 1
Tigres UANL 1
Pachuca 1
Motagua 1
Vancouver Whitecaps 7
Real Espana 3
Los Angeles FC 4
Alajuelense 2
Atlas 5
Olimpia 4
Philadelphia Union 4
Alianza FC 0
Quarter-finals
Violette 2
Club Leon 6
Tigres UANL 6
Motagua 0
Vancouver Whitecaps 0
Los Angeles FC 6
Atlas 2
Philadelphia Union 3
Semi-finals
Club Leon 4
Tigres UANL 3
Los Angeles FC 4
Philadelphia Union 1
Final
Club Leon 3
Los Angeles FC 1