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Vipers vs Garde Republicaine

Africa Africa

CECAFA Kagame Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Miya F.
38' Event
Miya F.
45' Event
Watambala K.

AI Match Summary

Vipers in this CECAFA Kagame Cup tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Vipers
6%
Draws
4%
Garde Republicaine
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Vipers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Garde Republicaine haven't matched Vipers's recent run of results.
  • Vipers are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Vipers have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vipers, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Vipers Clean Sheet 68%
Garde Republicaine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vipers Garde Republicaine
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 9
Draws 11 7
Losses 0 13
Goals Scored 1.75 0.33
Goals Conceded 0.25 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 CECAFA Kagame Cup
Vipers vs Garde Republicaine
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vipers Compare

Top Goalscorer Miya F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Watambala K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Garde Republicaine Compare

Avg xG / game 0.3
Avg xA / game 0.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vipers 95 / 100
Garde Republicaine 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vipers Garde Republicaine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vipers found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Vipers stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Garde Republicaine's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Vipers VS Garde Republicaine
1.75 Goals Scored 0.33
0.25 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Vipers

(Home)
27 Jul
Mahia
0 : 1
Vipers
24 Jul
Vipers
3 : 0
Garde Republicaine
23 May
Vipers
2 : 0
Express FC
19 May
Maroons
0 : 3
Vipers
15 May
Vipers
1 : 1
Kitara
Page 1 of 6

Garde Republicaine

(Away)
27 Jul
Garde Republicaine
1 : 3
APR
24 Jul
Vipers
3 : 0
Garde Republicaine
01 Jun
Garde Republicaine
3 : 0
FC Arta
01 May
Port
0 : 0
Garde Republicaine
25 Apr
Garde Republicaine
0 : 2
Gendarmerie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vipers22004:06
2Mahia21015:13
3APR21013:63
4Garde Republicaine20021:60
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jamus21102:04
2Singida Black Stars21014:33
3Simba20200:02
4Mogadishu City20111:41
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman22006:06
2Rayon Sport22003:06
3Tusker20020:30
4KVZ20020:60
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams