Sport Picks
Match Events
15'
15'
Miya F.
38'
38'
Miya F.
45'
45'
Watambala K.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vipers
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Garde Republicaine haven't matched Vipers's recent run of results.
- Vipers are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Vipers have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Vipers, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Vipers Clean Sheet 68%
Garde Republicaine Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vipers | Garde Republicaine |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 2 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.64 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.46 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.85 | 0.35 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 24, 2026 CECAFA Kagame Cup
Vipers vs Garde Republicaine
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vipers Compare
Top Goalscorer Miya F.
2 Goals Assists Leader Watambala K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93
Garde Republicaine Compare
Avg xG / game 0.32
Avg xA / game 0.19
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vipers 95 / 100
Garde Republicaine 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vipers Garde Republicaine
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vipers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vipers found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).
Garde Republicaine's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Vipers stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Vipers VS Garde Republicaine
1.38 Goals Scored 0.33
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.33
75% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 67%
0% Over 3.5 33%
Recent Form & Match History
Vipers
(Home) 19 Sept
Vipers
3 : 0 Ntugasaze
13 Sept
Nouadhibou
0 : 0 Vipers
05 Sept
Vipers
1 : 1 Nouadhibou
28 Aug
Vipers
0 : 1 Entebbe UPPC
30 Jul
APR
2 : 1 Vipers
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Vipers
3 : 0 Ntugasaze
05 Sept
Vipers
1 : 1 Nouadhibou
28 Aug
Vipers
0 : 1 Entebbe UPPC
24 Jul
Vipers
3 : 0 Garde Republicaine
23 May
Vipers
2 : 0 Express FC
Page 1 of 3
Garde Republicaine
(Away) 30 Jul
Mahia
1 : 0 Garde Republicaine
27 Jul
Garde Republicaine
1 : 3 APR
24 Jul
Vipers
3 : 0 Garde Republicaine
01 Jun
Garde Republicaine
3 : 0 FC Arta
01 May
Port
0 : 0 Garde Republicaine
Page 1 of 6
30 Jul
Mahia
1 : 0 Garde Republicaine
24 Jul
Vipers
3 : 0 Garde Republicaine
01 May
Port
0 : 0 Garde Republicaine
20 Apr
ASAS
3 : 0 Garde Republicaine
11 Apr
Garde-Cotes
1 : 0 Garde Republicaine
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Vipers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 3 | APR | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:7 | 6 |
| 4 | Garde Republicaine | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | 0 |
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Simba | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 5 |
| 3 | Singida Black Stars | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Mogadishu City | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rayon Sport | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Tusker | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 4 | KVZ | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:8 | 0 |
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
