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Vipers vs Maroons

Uganda Uganda

Premier League
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vipers host Maroons in the Premier League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Maroons have shipped 1.03 goals a game lately, while Vipers have conceded 0.49 and scored 1.84. Head-to-head, Vipers have won 4 to Maroons's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 19, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.40 - 0.68) back Vipers to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Vipers
20%
Draws
44%
Maroons
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maroons

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Maroons haven't matched Vipers's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Vipers's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vipers here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Vipers Clean Sheet 20%
Maroons Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vipers Maroons
Matches Played 37 31
Wins 23 9
Draws 12 9
Losses 2 13
Goals Scored 1.84 0.94
Goals Conceded 0.49 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Premier League
Maroons vs Vipers
0:3
Nov 22, 2025 Premier League
Vipers vs Maroons
2:1
Apr 24, 2025 Premier League
Maroons vs Vipers
0:1
Jan 6, 2025 Premier League
Vipers vs Maroons
1:0
Apr 23, 2024 Premier League
Vipers vs Maroons
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vipers 67 / 100
Maroons 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vipers Maroons

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vipers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vipers found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (37 games).

Maroons has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Vipers remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vipers VS Maroons
1.5 Goals Scored 0.86
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.29
75% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 57%
0% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Vipers

(Home)
19 Sept
Vipers
3 : 0
Ntugasaze
13 Sept
Nouadhibou
0 : 0
Vipers
05 Sept
Vipers
1 : 1
Nouadhibou
28 Aug
Vipers
0 : 1
Entebbe UPPC
30 Jul
APR
2 : 1
Vipers
Page 1 of 8

Maroons

(Away)
17 Sept
UPDF FC
1 : 0
Maroons
08 Sept
Maroons
1 : 2
Blacks Power
02 Sept
Ntugasaze
1 : 3
Maroons
30 Aug
Maroons
1 : 2
Uganda Revenue
23 May
Lugazi
0 : 1
Maroons
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BUL 4 4 0 0 11:3 12
2 NEC FC 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
3 Villa 4 3 1 0 7:1 10
4 Blacks Power 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
5 Police 4 2 1 1 3:1 7
6 Entebbe UPPC 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
7 Lugazi 4 2 0 2 4:6 6
8 UPDF FC 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
9 Express FC 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
10 Kampala City 4 1 1 2 1:4 4
11 Vipers 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
12 Maroons 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
13 Uganda Revenue 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
14 Kitara 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
15 Mbarara City 3 0 2 1 0:1 2
16 Kataka 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
17 Kigezi HomeBoyz 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
18 Ntugasaze 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2027/2028 (Main)