Sport Picks

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Vipers vs NEC FC

Uganda Uganda

Premier League 2025/2026 St. Mary's Stadium, Kitende
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Karisa M.
75' Event
Buule W.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Vipers and NEC FC finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Vipers
30%
Draws
47%
NEC FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: NEC FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • NEC FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Vipers Clean Sheet 25%
NEC FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vipers NEC FC
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 15
Draws 12 9
Losses 2 4
Goals Scored 1.54 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.46 0.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Uganda Cup
NEC FC vs Vipers
0:1
Feb 17, 2026 Premier League
Vipers vs NEC FC
1:1
Dec 5, 2025 Premier League
NEC FC vs Vipers
1:1
Apr 17, 2025 Premier League
Vipers vs NEC FC
3:1
Sep 15, 2024 Premier League
NEC FC vs Vipers
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vipers Compare

Top Goalscorer Karisa M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

NEC FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Buule W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vipers 33 / 100
NEC FC 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vipers NEC FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEC FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vipers's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Vipers has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: NEC FC conceded in 36% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Vipers VS NEC FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vipers

(Home)
19 Sept
Vipers
3 : 0
Ntugasaze
13 Sept
Nouadhibou
0 : 0
Vipers
05 Sept
Vipers
1 : 1
Nouadhibou
28 Aug
Vipers
0 : 1
Entebbe UPPC
30 Jul
APR
2 : 1
Vipers
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NEC FC

(Away)
15 Sept
NEC FC
4 : 1
Uganda Revenue
11 Sept
Mbarara City
0 : 0
NEC FC
01 Sept
NEC FC
3 : 1
Lugazi
29 Aug
Kampala City
0 : 2
NEC FC
23 May
Calvary
2 : 0
NEC FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vipers 30 19 10 1 55:17 67
2 Kampala City 30 19 5 6 46:22 62
3 Villa 30 18 7 5 47:17 61
4 Kitara 30 16 8 6 43:22 56
5 Entebbe UPPC 30 14 9 7 30:20 51
6 NEC FC 30 13 12 5 31:22 51
7 Police 30 13 8 9 42:35 47
8 Maroons 30 9 11 10 26:27 38
9 BUL 30 9 10 11 30:33 37
10 Express FC 30 9 10 11 28:31 37
11 Uganda Revenue 30 5 16 9 27:30 31
12 Mbarara City 30 6 9 15 26:46 27
13 Lugazi 30 5 10 15 19:36 25
14 UPDF FC 30 5 7 18 24:41 22
15 Calvary 30 4 9 17 14:39 21
16 Buhimba 30 4 3 23 16:66 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League (Main)