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Vipers vs Ntugasaze

Uganda Uganda

Premier League St. Mary's Stadium, Kitende
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Mulongo G.
Assist: Watambala K.
60' Event
Chukwuma O.
Assist: Miya F.
63' Event
Manzoki C.
Assist: Usama A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Vipers and Ntugasaze finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vipers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Vipers
20%
Draws
30%
Ntugasaze
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vipers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vipers come out ahead of Ntugasaze on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Vipers taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Vipers Clean Sheet 20%
Ntugasaze Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vipers Ntugasaze
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 11 8
Losses 2 9
Goals Scored 1.64 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.46 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Premier League
Vipers vs Ntugasaze
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vipers Compare

Top Goalscorer Mulongo G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chukwuma O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Ntugasaze Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vipers 85 / 100
Ntugasaze 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vipers Ntugasaze

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vipers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vipers scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Vipers remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Ntugasaze's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vipers VS Ntugasaze
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vipers

(Home)
19 Sept
Vipers
3 : 0
Ntugasaze
13 Sept
Nouadhibou
0 : 0
Vipers
05 Sept
Vipers
1 : 1
Nouadhibou
28 Aug
Vipers
0 : 1
Entebbe UPPC
30 Jul
APR
2 : 1
Vipers
Page 1 of 6

Ntugasaze

(Away)
19 Sept
Vipers
3 : 0
Ntugasaze
08 Sept
BUL
4 : 1
Ntugasaze
02 Sept
Ntugasaze
1 : 3
Maroons
29 Aug
Blacks Power
1 : 0
Ntugasaze
06 Jun
Kiyinda Boys
0 : 3
Ntugasaze
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BUL 4 4 0 0 11:3 12
2 NEC FC 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
3 Villa 4 3 1 0 7:1 10
4 Blacks Power 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
5 Police 4 2 1 1 3:1 7
6 Entebbe UPPC 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
7 Lugazi 4 2 0 2 4:6 6
8 UPDF FC 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
9 Express FC 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
10 Kampala City 4 1 1 2 1:4 4
11 Vipers 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
12 Maroons 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
13 Uganda Revenue 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
14 Kitara 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
15 Mbarara City 3 0 2 1 0:1 2
16 Kataka 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
17 Kigezi HomeBoyz 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
18 Ntugasaze 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2027/2028 (Main)