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Virovitica vs Podravac Virje

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL North
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Virovitica play Podravac Virje in the 3. HNL North. It looks like a close match. Recently, Virovitica averaged 1.1 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Podravac Virje averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. In past meetings, Virovitica won 3, Podravac Virje won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 14, 2022 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Virovitica and 1.44 for Podravac Virje. This points to a Podravac Virje double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Virovitica
18%
Draws
43%
Podravac Virje
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Podravac Virje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Virovitica picked up more points recently compared to Podravac Virje.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Virovitica Clean Sheet 16%
Podravac Virje Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Virovitica Podravac Virje
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 1.1 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2022 3. HNL North
Virovitica vs Podravac Virje
2:0
Apr 2, 2022 3. HNL North
Virovitica vs Podravac Virje
4:2
Oct 16, 2021 3. HNL North
Podravac Virje vs Virovitica
3:0
May 22, 2021 3. HNL North
Virovitica vs Podravac Virje
5:2
Apr 24, 2021 3. HNL North
Virovitica vs Podravac Virje
4:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Virovitica 38 / 100
Podravac Virje 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Virovitica Podravac Virje

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Podravac Virje or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Virovitica attacking → ← attacking Podravac Virje

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Virovitica scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Podravac Virje let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Virovitica went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Podravac Virje lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 30
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1NK Polet22170561:1751
2Mladost Zdralovi22155245:1550
3Bjelovar22143553:2645
4Radnik Krizevci22142657:2544
5Medjimurje22123740:3339
6Podravina Ludbreg2287735:4131
7Papuk Orahovica22741132:4325
8Varteks Varazdin (2011)22641220:3922
9NK Koprivnica22381124:4317
10Virovitica22521525:5217
11Podravac Virje22441423:5016
12Rudar Mursko Sredisce22441425:5616