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Virton vs Chatelet

Belgium Belgium

First Amateur Division 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Virton in this First Amateur Division 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Virton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Virton
20%
Draws
23%
Chatelet
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Virton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Virton lately — more wins on the board than Chatelet.
  • Win probability leans Virton's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular First Amateur Division 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Virton Clean Sheet 68%
Chatelet Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Virton Chatelet
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.9 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2019 National Division 1
Virton vs Chatelet
1:0
Dec 8, 2018 National Division 1
Chatelet vs Virton
1:0
Apr 14, 2018 National Division 1
Virton vs Chatelet
1:0
Oct 8, 2017 National Division 1
Chatelet vs Virton
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Virton 95 / 100
Chatelet 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Virton Chatelet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Virton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Virton's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Chatelet conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Recent resilience: Virton stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Virton VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Virton

(Home)
12 Sept
Virton
3 : 0
Genk U23
30 Aug
Virton
0 : 1
Francs Borains
21 Aug
Anderlecht U23
0 : 1
Virton
15 Aug
Virton
3 : 0
Lierse SK
05 Aug
Virton
1 : 1
Strasbourg II
Page 1 of 7

Chatelet

(Away)
27 Apr
Chatelet
0 : 0
Knokke
13 Apr
Virton
1 : 0
Chatelet
06 Apr
Chatelet
0 : 3
RFC Seraing
30 Mar
Dessel
1 : 0
Chatelet
23 Mar
Chatelet
2 : 1
Dender
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thes Sport 30 19 5 6 62:28 62
2 Deinze 30 17 8 5 53:30 59
3 Virton 30 15 9 6 42:20 54
4 Lierse SK 30 13 9 8 42:36 48
5 Boom 30 13 6 11 44:40 45
6 RFC Liege 30 11 8 11 41:35 41
7 RFC Seraing 30 10 11 9 46:40 41
8 RWDM Brussels 30 11 7 12 39:45 40
9 Dender 30 10 10 10 42:40 40
10 Heist 30 10 8 12 29:44 38
11 Chatelet 30 9 9 12 30:37 36
12 Dessel 30 9 8 13 30:39 35
13 Oudenaarde 30 10 4 16 37:59 34
14 ASV Geel 30 9 4 17 42:62 31
15 Aalst 30 7 10 13 35:49 31
16 Knokke 30 6 6 18 35:45 24
Relegation - First Amateur Division 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Promotion - First Amateur Division 2018/2019 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - First Amateur Division 2018/2019 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - First Amateur Division 2018/2019 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - First Amateur Division 2018/2019 (Promotion Group)