Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Virton vs Genk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 3-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Genk have shipped 1.52 goals a game lately, while Virton have conceded 1.17 and scored 1.93. Head-to-head, Virton have won 0 to Genk's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 16, 2002, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.25) point toward Virton. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Virton
30%
Draws
23%
Genk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Virton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Virton have won more games recently than Genk.
  • Win probability leans Virton's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Virton have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Virton Clean Sheet 19%
Genk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Virton Genk
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 18 12
Draws 5 10
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.93 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2002 Belgian Cup
Genk vs Virton
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Virton 85 / 100
Genk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Virton Genk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Virton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Virton scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Genk has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Virton has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Virton VS Genk
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Virton

(Home)
26 Sept
Oostkamp
0 : 3
Virton
20 Sept
Sporting Lokeren
1 : 1
Virton
12 Sept
Virton
3 : 0
Genk U23
30 Aug
Virton
0 : 1
Francs Borains
21 Aug
Anderlecht U23
0 : 1
Virton
Page 1 of 6

Genk

(Away)
03 Oct
Genk
1 : 2
Sittard
20 Sept
Club Brugge
3 : 0
Genk
13 Sept
Genk
1 : 1
Gent
06 Sept
Anderlecht
0 : 0
Genk
28 Aug
Genk
4 : 0
SK Beveren
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
St. Truiden -
TBD -
Diksmuide Oostende 0
Lommel SK 2
Westerlo -
TBD -
SK Roeselare 1
Patro Eisden 2
Crossing Schaerbeek 3
Beerschot VA 5
TBD -
Anderlecht -
Heist 3
Kortrijk 2
TBD -
Antwerp -
Waregem -
TBD -
Knokke 2
RFC Seraing 5
Club Brugge -
TBD -
Houtvenne 0
Sporting Lokeren 5
KV Mechelen -
TBD -
Merelbeke 0
Eupen 1
Union Rochefortoise 3
Lierse SK 2
TBD -
Gent -
SK Beveren -
TBD -
OC Charleroi 1
Habay La Neuve 2
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
Nijlen 3
Boom 1
Oostkamp 0
Virton 3
TBD -
Genk -
Londerzeel 0
Renaissance Mons 4
TBD -
Charleroi -
RAAL La Louviere -
TBD -
RFC Liege 4
Wellen 1
St. Liege -
TBD -
Hoogstraten 0
Dender 6
Leuven -
TBD -
Diegem 0
Francs Borains 1
Mandel United 1
Hasselt 3
TBD -
Cercle Brugge -
1/16-finals
St. Truiden -
Lommel SK -
Westerlo -
Patro Eisden -
Beerschot VA -
Anderlecht -
Heist -
Antwerp -
Waregem -
RFC Seraing -
Club Brugge -
Sporting Lokeren -
KV Mechelen -
Eupen -
Union Rochefortoise -
Gent -
SK Beveren -
Habay La Neuve -
Royale Union SG -
Nijlen -
Virton -
Genk -
Renaissance Mons -
Charleroi -
RAAL La Louviere -
RFC Liege -
St. Liege -
Dender -
Leuven -
Francs Borains -
Hasselt -
Cercle Brugge -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -