Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Virtus Bolzano vs Calvi Noale - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Mion E.
70' Event
Kaptina A.
80' Event
Mion E.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C game between Virtus Bolzano and Calvi Noale finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Calvi Noale.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Virtus Bolzano
20%
Draws
46%
Calvi Noale
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Calvi Noale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Calvi Noale carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Calvi Noale's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Virtus Bolzano Clean Sheet 10%
Calvi Noale Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Virtus Bolzano Calvi Noale
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.8 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Virtus Bolzano vs Calvi Noale
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Virtus Bolzano Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaptina A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Calvi Noale Compare

Top Goalscorer Mion E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader De Polo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Virtus Bolzano 10 / 100
Calvi Noale 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Virtus Bolzano Calvi Noale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calvi Noale Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Calvi Noale has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Virtus Bolzano scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Virtus Bolzano has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Virtus Bolzano VS Calvi Noale
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Virtus Bolzano

(Home)
04 Oct
Virtus Bolzano
1 : 3
Calvi Noale
27 Sept
Altavilla
7 : 0
Virtus Bolzano
20 Sept
Virtus Bolzano
2 : 1
Calcio San Dona
16 Sept
Luparense FC
4 : 0
Virtus Bolzano
13 Sept
Virtus Bolzano
2 : 1
Brian Lignano
Page 1 of 6

Calvi Noale

(Away)
04 Oct
Virtus Bolzano
1 : 3
Calvi Noale
27 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 1
Brian Lignano
20 Sept
Legnago Salus
0 : 1
Calvi Noale
16 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 0
Schio
13 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1
Calvi Noale
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cjarlins Muzane 6 5 0 1 17:5 15
2 Luparense FC 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
3 Calcio San Dona 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
4 Mestre 6 2 4 0 9:6 10
5 Campodarsego 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
6 Clodiense 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
7 Bassano Virtus 6 2 3 1 6:3 9
8 Calvi Noale 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
9 Lavarian Mortean Esperia 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
10 Este 6 2 1 3 5:5 7
11 Legnago Salus 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
12 Conegliano 6 2 1 3 3:7 7
13 Altavilla 6 1 3 2 14:9 6
14 Triestina 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
15 Virtus Bolzano 6 2 0 4 5:18 6
16 FC Obermais 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
17 Schio 6 0 4 2 3:6 4
18 Brian Lignano 6 1 0 5 7:14 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C (Play Out)