Sport Picks
Virtus Castelfranco vs Bellaria Igea
Italy
Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Virtus Castelfranco
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Virtus Castelfranco have won more games recently than Bellaria Igea.
- Virtus Castelfranco are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Virtus Castelfranco Clean Sheet 20%
Bellaria Igea Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Virtus Castelfranco | Bellaria Igea |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 5 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.79 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 10, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Virtus Castelfranco vs Bellaria Igea
1:1
Oct 11, 2015 Serie D - Group D
Bellaria Igea vs Virtus Castelfranco
0:2
May 10, 2015 Serie D - Group D
Bellaria Igea vs Virtus Castelfranco
4:2
Jan 4, 2015 Serie D - Group D
Virtus Castelfranco vs Bellaria Igea
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Virtus Castelfranco 58 / 100
Bellaria Igea 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Virtus Castelfranco Bellaria Igea
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Virtus Castelfranco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bellaria Igea has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.
Virtus Castelfranco's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Virtus Castelfranco stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Virtus Castelfranco VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Virtus Castelfranco
(Home) 07 May
Virtus Castelfranco
2 : 1 Fiorenzuola
30 Apr
Rignanese
1 : 3 Virtus Castelfranco
23 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 1 Ribelle
13 Apr
Delta Porto Tolle
0 : 1 Virtus Castelfranco
09 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 3 Sangiovannese
Page 1 of 7
07 May
Virtus Castelfranco
2 : 1 Fiorenzuola
23 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 1 Ribelle
09 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 3 Sangiovannese
26 Mar
Virtus Castelfranco
2 : 2 Castelvetro
05 Mar
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 2 Lentigione
Page 1 of 4
Bellaria Igea
(Away) 08 May
Bellaria Igea
3 : 1 Clodiense
01 May
Parma
3 : 0 Bellaria Igea
24 Apr
Bellaria Igea
0 : 0 Mezzolara
17 Apr
Altovicentino
2 : 0 Bellaria Igea
10 Apr
Bellaria Igea
1 : 2 Arzignano
Page 1 of 6
01 May
Parma
3 : 0 Bellaria Igea
17 Apr
Altovicentino
2 : 0 Bellaria Igea
03 Apr
Fortis Juventus
2 : 3 Bellaria Igea
06 Mar
Villafranca
3 : 1 Bellaria Igea
02 Mar
Delta Porto Tolle
1 : 0 Bellaria Igea
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parma | 38 | 28 | 10 | 0 | 82:17 | 94 |
| 2 | Altovicentino | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 84:43 | 77 |
| 3 | Forli FC | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 69:46 | 69 |
| 4 | San Marino Calcio | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 55:41 | 65 |
| 5 | Correggese | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 66:49 | 64 |
| 6 | Imolese | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 63:41 | 63 |
| 7 | Delta Porto Tolle | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 68:51 | 61 |
| 8 | Ribelle | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 63:54 | 61 |
| 9 | Lentigione | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 53:51 | 59 |
| 10 | Sammaurese | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 53:49 | 54 |
| 11 | Arzignano | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 60:54 | 53 |
| 12 | Legnago Salus | 38 | 12 | 15 | 11 | 55:54 | 51 |
| 13 | Ravenna | 38 | 9 | 17 | 12 | 50:59 | 44 |
| 14 | Romagna Centro | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 40:51 | 44 |
| 15 | Virtus Castelfranco | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 50:59 | 42 |
| 16 | Mezzolara | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:55 | 35 |
| 17 | Villafranca | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 45:63 | 33 |
| 18 | Bellaria Igea | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 38:76 | 29 |
| 19 | Clodiense | 38 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 35:81 | 27 |
| 20 | Fortis Juventus | 38 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 32:97 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 (Play Out)
