Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Virtus Castelfranco vs Correggese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Virtus Castelfranco
20%
Draws
40%
Correggese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Correggese have won more games recently than Virtus Castelfranco.
  • Win probability leans Virtus Castelfranco's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Virtus Castelfranco Clean Sheet 19%
Correggese Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Virtus Castelfranco Correggese
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.8 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Virtus Castelfranco vs Correggese
0:0
Sep 25, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Correggese vs Virtus Castelfranco
1:0
May 1, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Correggese vs Virtus Castelfranco
5:2
Dec 13, 2015 Serie D - Group D
Virtus Castelfranco vs Correggese
1:0
Mar 25, 2015 Serie D - Group D
Virtus Castelfranco vs Correggese
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Virtus Castelfranco 42 / 100
Correggese 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Virtus Castelfranco Correggese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Virtus Castelfranco found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Correggese conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Virtus Castelfranco stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Correggese
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Virtus Castelfranco

(Home)
07 May
Virtus Castelfranco
2 : 1
Fiorenzuola
30 Apr
Rignanese
1 : 3
Virtus Castelfranco
23 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 1
Ribelle
13 Apr
Delta Porto Tolle
0 : 1
Virtus Castelfranco
09 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 3
Sangiovannese
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Correggese

(Away)
04 Oct
Correggese
2 : 1
Pavia
27 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 1
Correggese
20 Sept
Correggese
1 : 3
USD Casatese
16 Sept
Correggese
2 : 1
Varesina
12 Sept
Arconatese
1 : 1
Correggese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ravenna 34 17 14 3 52:26 65
2 Imolese 34 18 9 7 60:35 63
3 Delta Porto Tolle 34 17 10 7 57:37 61
4 Lentigione 34 16 10 8 40:31 58
5 Correggese 34 16 8 10 58:48 56
6 Castelvetro 34 15 5 14 60:57 50
7 Scandicci 34 13 7 14 45:55 46
8 Pianese 34 12 10 12 46:48 46
9 Mezzolara 34 11 12 11 44:46 45
10 Rignanese 34 11 11 12 34:35 44
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 11 11 12 50:48 44
12 Fiorenzuola 34 12 7 15 39:45 43
13 Colligiana 34 10 13 11 46:47 43
14 Adriese 34 11 6 17 46:51 39
15 Ribelle 34 8 15 11 45:46 38
16 Sangiovannese 34 10 7 17 42:51 37
17 Virtus Castelfranco 34 8 9 17 25:41 33
18 Poggibonsi 34 6 4 24 24:66 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2016/2017 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 (Play Offs)