Sport Picks
Virtus Castelfranco vs Lentigione
Italy
Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 
AI Match Summary
Lentigione in this Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lentigione.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Lentigione lately — more wins on the board than Virtus Castelfranco.
- Model gives Virtus Castelfranco a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Lentigione have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Virtus Castelfranco Clean Sheet 15%
Lentigione Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Virtus Castelfranco | Lentigione |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 20 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 1.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 5, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Virtus Castelfranco vs Lentigione
1:2
Oct 30, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Virtus Castelfranco
2:1
Apr 17, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Virtus Castelfranco
3:2
Nov 29, 2015 Serie D - Group D
Virtus Castelfranco vs Lentigione
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Virtus Castelfranco 41 / 100
Lentigione 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Virtus Castelfranco Lentigione
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.
Virtus Castelfranco scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
Lentigione has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Virtus Castelfranco has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Lentigione
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Virtus Castelfranco
(Home) 07 May
Virtus Castelfranco
2 : 1 Fiorenzuola
30 Apr
Rignanese
1 : 3 Virtus Castelfranco
23 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 1 Ribelle
13 Apr
Delta Porto Tolle
0 : 1 Virtus Castelfranco
09 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 3 Sangiovannese
Page 1 of 6
07 May
Virtus Castelfranco
2 : 1 Fiorenzuola
23 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 1 Ribelle
09 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 3 Sangiovannese
26 Mar
Virtus Castelfranco
2 : 2 Castelvetro
05 Mar
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 2 Lentigione
Page 1 of 3
Lentigione
(Away) 27 Sept
Varese FC
1 : 1 Lentigione
20 Sept
Lentigione
0 : 1 Cittadella Vis Modena
16 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 2 Lentigione
12 Sept
Lentigione
1 : 0 Castellanzese
06 Sept
Pro Sesto
2 : 3 Lentigione
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Varese FC
1 : 1 Lentigione
16 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 2 Lentigione
06 Sept
Pro Sesto
2 : 3 Lentigione
26 Apr
Trevigliese
1 : 2 Lentigione
02 Apr
Sasso Marconi
1 : 2 Lentigione
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ravenna | 34 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 52:26 | 65 |
| 2 | Imolese | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 60:35 | 63 |
| 3 | Delta Porto Tolle | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 57:37 | 61 |
| 4 | Lentigione | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 40:31 | 58 |
| 5 | Correggese | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58:48 | 56 |
| 6 | Castelvetro | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 60:57 | 50 |
| 7 | Scandicci | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 45:55 | 46 |
| 8 | Pianese | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 46:48 | 46 |
| 9 | Mezzolara | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 44:46 | 45 |
| 10 | Rignanese | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 34:35 | 44 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 50:48 | 44 |
| 12 | Fiorenzuola | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 39:45 | 43 |
| 13 | Colligiana | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 46:47 | 43 |
| 14 | Adriese | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 46:51 | 39 |
| 15 | Ribelle | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 45:46 | 38 |
| 16 | Sangiovannese | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 42:51 | 37 |
| 17 | Virtus Castelfranco | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 25:41 | 33 |
| 18 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 24:66 | 21 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2016/2017 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
