Sport Picks
Virtus Francavilla vs Brindisi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group H Stadio Giovanni Paolo II, Francavilla Fontana 
Match Events
26'
26'
Zenelaj E.
36'
36'
Ahmetaj M.
45'
45'
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
Virtus Francavilla in this Serie D - Group H matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Virtus Francavilla.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Virtus Francavilla
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Virtus Francavilla lately — more wins on the board than Brindisi.
- 49% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Serie D - Group H form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Virtus Francavilla Clean Sheet 68%
Brindisi Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Virtus Francavilla | Brindisi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.09 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Virtus Francavilla vs Brindisi
2:1
Mar 2, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Brindisi vs Virtus Francavilla
1:1
Oct 27, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Virtus Francavilla vs Brindisi
1:1
Mar 30, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Brindisi vs Virtus Francavilla
2:0
Nov 27, 2023 Serie C - Group C
Virtus Francavilla vs Brindisi
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Virtus Francavilla Compare
Top Goalscorer Ahmetaj M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Brindisi Compare
Top Goalscorer Zenelaj E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Virtus Francavilla 41 / 100
Brindisi 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Virtus Francavilla Brindisi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Virtus Francavilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Virtus Francavilla scored in 76% of their last 34 games.
Defensive concern: Brindisi conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Virtus Francavilla has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Virtus Francavilla VS Brindisi
1.25 Goals Scored 1.14
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.14
75% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 57%
50% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
Virtus Francavilla
(Home) 07 Oct
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 0 Gravina
04 Oct
Gravina
4 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
27 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 San Felice Gladiator
20 Sept
Martina Calcio
1 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
16 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 Brindisi
Page 1 of 7
07 Oct
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 0 Gravina
27 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 San Felice Gladiator
16 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 Brindisi
06 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 1 Palmese 1914
03 May
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 2 Sarnese
Page 1 of 4
Brindisi
(Away) 04 Oct
Brindisi
3 : 0 Real Normanna
27 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1 Brindisi
20 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 2 Turris
16 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 Brindisi
12 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 0 Fidelis Andria
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1 Brindisi
16 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 Brindisi
06 Sept
Real Forio 2014
4 : 1 Brindisi
27 Apr
Manfredonia
2 : 2 Brindisi
13 Apr
Nocerina
2 : 0 Brindisi
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virtus Francavilla | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:8 | 15 |
| 2 | Nocerina | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Martina Calcio | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12:7 | 12 |
| 4 | Bisceglie | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 5 | Turris | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:5 | 12 |
| 6 | Gravina | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 11 |
| 7 | Manfredonia | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 11 |
| 8 | Real Normanna | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 10 |
| 9 | Brindisi | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 9 |
| 10 | Ebolitana | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | 8 |
| 11 | Real Forio 2014 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 12 | San Felice Gladiator | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | 7 |
| 13 | Palmese 1914 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | 7 |
| 14 | A.C.D. Nardo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:11 | 5 |
| 15 | Melfi | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:6 | 4 |
| 16 | Fidelis Andria | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 17 | Francavilla | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 18 | Ischia | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7:12 | 2 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)
