Sport Picks
Virtus Francavilla vs Gravina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Coppa Italia Serie D Stadio Giovanni Paolo II, Francavilla Fontana 
Match Events
20'
20'
32'
32'
Own Goal
40'
40'
Rocco A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
56%
20%
24%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Virtus Francavilla
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Gravina come out ahead of Virtus Francavilla on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Virtus Francavilla's way, sitting at 80%.
- Gravina arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Gravina, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Virtus Francavilla Clean Sheet 68%
Gravina Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Virtus Francavilla | Gravina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 16 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 7, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie D
Virtus Francavilla vs Gravina
3:0
Oct 4, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Gravina vs Virtus Francavilla
4:2
Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Virtus Francavilla vs Gravina
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Gravina vs Virtus Francavilla
0:0
Feb 9, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Virtus Francavilla vs Gravina
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Virtus Francavilla Compare
Top Goalscorer Rocco A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Gravina Compare
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Virtus Francavilla 86 / 100
Gravina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Virtus Francavilla Gravina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Virtus Francavilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Virtus Francavilla found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Gravina has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Virtus Francavilla has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Virtus Francavilla VS Gravina
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Virtus Francavilla
(Home) 07 Oct
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 0 Gravina
04 Oct
Gravina
4 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
27 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 San Felice Gladiator
20 Sept
Martina Calcio
1 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
16 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 Brindisi
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 0 Gravina
27 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 San Felice Gladiator
16 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 Brindisi
06 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 1 Palmese 1914
03 May
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 2 Sarnese
Page 1 of 3
Gravina
(Away) 07 Oct
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 0 Gravina
04 Oct
Gravina
4 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
27 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 0 Gravina
20 Sept
Gravina
2 : 2 Real Forio 2014
16 Sept
Turris
0 : 0 Gravina
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 0 Gravina
27 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 0 Gravina
16 Sept
Turris
0 : 0 Gravina
06 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 3 Gravina
26 Apr
Afragolese
0 : 6 Gravina
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
AS Biellese 3
Alessandria 2
Valenzana 3
Saluzzo 2
Villa Valle 2
Tritium 1
Brusaporto 2
Chievo 1
Real Calepina 0
AC Leon 2
Varese FC 2
Pro Patria 5
Pavia 1
Sant'Angelo 3
Sanremese 5
Millesimo 2
Cjarlins Muzane 2
Brian Lignano 1
Este 0
Caldiero Terme 2
Mestre 0
Schio 2
Clodiense 2
Campodarsego 1
Lentigione 1
Piacenza 3
Sasso Marconi 1
Cittadella Vis Modena 0
Sestri Levante 1
Pistoiese 0
Seravezza Pozzi 1
Lucchese 2
Terranuova Traiana 0
Prato 3
Ternana -
Recanatese -
Ancona 2
Fossombrone 1
Flaminia 0
Siena 3
Unipomezia 3
Teramo 4
Latte Dolce 3
Sarrabus Ogliastra 0
Aquila Calcio 5
Termoli 2
Paganese 1
Real Normanna 2
Certosa V. Campagnano 4
Albalonga 1
Nocerina 1
Turris 2
Fidelis Andria 2
Bisceglie 1
Virtus Francavilla 3
Gravina 0
Lamezia 2
Gelbison 3
Igea Virtus 3
Reggina 2
Calcio Avola 0
ASD Modica Calcio 4
Trapani 1
Licata 2
1/16-finals
AS Biellese -
Valenzana -
Villa Valle -
Brusaporto -
AC Leon -
Pro Patria -
Sant'Angelo -
Sanremese -
Cjarlins Muzane -
Caldiero Terme -
Schio -
Clodiense -
Piacenza -
Sasso Marconi -
Sestri Levante -
Lucchese -
Prato -
TBD -
Ancona -
Siena -
Teramo -
Latte Dolce -
Aquila Calcio -
Real Normanna -
Certosa V. Campagnano -
Turris -
Fidelis Andria -
Virtus Francavilla -
Gelbison -
Igea Virtus -
ASD Modica Calcio -
Licata -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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