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Virtus vs La Fiorita - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Felipe J.
Assist: Zaccaria G.
35' Event
Golinucci A.
52' Event
Scappini S.
Assist: De Santis M.

AI Match Summary

Virtus in this Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Virtus
35%
Draws
21%
La Fiorita
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Virtus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Virtus lately — more wins on the board than La Fiorita.
  • Model gives Virtus a 44% chance of winning this.
  • Virtus have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Virtus, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Virtus Clean Sheet 68%
La Fiorita Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Virtus La Fiorita
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 12
Draws 6 10
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 2.1 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.86 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs La Fiorita
0:0
May 16, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs La Fiorita
2:1
Jan 18, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs Virtus
1:1
Aug 31, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs La Fiorita
2:2
Apr 2, 2025 Coppa Titano
Virtus vs La Fiorita
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Virtus Compare

Top Goalscorer Golinucci A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Scappini S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

La Fiorita Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Virtus 95 / 100
La Fiorita 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Virtus La Fiorita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Virtus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Virtus's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Virtus remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

La Fiorita has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Virtus VS La Fiorita
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Virtus

(Home)
18 Sept
Tre Fiori
2 : 3
Virtus
12 Sept
Virtus
2 : 0
AC Libertas
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3
Virtus
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1
Virtus
30 Aug
Virtus
0 : 0
La Fiorita
Page 1 of 6

La Fiorita

(Away)
19 Sept
SP Domagnano
1 : 2
La Fiorita
11 Sept
Fiorentino
1 : 1
La Fiorita
06 Sept
La Fiorita
1 : 1
San Marino Academy U22
30 Aug
Virtus
0 : 0
La Fiorita
25 Aug
Tre Fiori
3 : 2
La Fiorita
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Virtus -
TBD -
Juvenes/Dogana 1
AC Libertas 1
Folgore -
TBD -
TBD -
SP Domagnano -
Tre Penne -
TBD -
SP Cosmos 3
SS Pennarossa 0
La Fiorita -
TBD -
TBD -
Fiorentino -
Quarter-finals
Virtus 2
Juvenes/Dogana 0
Folgore 2
SP Domagnano 3
Tre Penne 0
SP Cosmos 0
La Fiorita 3
Fiorentino 3
Semi-finals
Virtus 3
SP Domagnano 3
Tre Penne 1
La Fiorita 2
Final
Virtus 2
La Fiorita 1
SP Domagnano 1
Tre Penne 3