Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Virtus vs SP Domagnano

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026
Virtus Logo

Virtus

3 - 2
FT
SP Domagnano Logo

SP Domagnano

Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Golinucci A.
Assist: Zenoni M.
41' Event
Benincasa S.
66' Event
Scappini S.
Assist: Piscitella G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Virtus in this Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Virtus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Virtus
15%
Draws
35%
SP Domagnano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Virtus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Virtus lately — more wins on the board than SP Domagnano.
  • Win probability leans Virtus's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Virtus Clean Sheet 68%
SP Domagnano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Virtus SP Domagnano
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 21 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.09 1.76
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Domagnano vs Virtus
2:1
May 9, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs SP Domagnano
2:1
Mar 22, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs SP Domagnano
3:2
Nov 29, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Domagnano vs Virtus
1:0
Jan 21, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs SP Domagnano
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Virtus Compare

Top Goalscorer Golinucci A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Benincasa S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

SP Domagnano Compare

Top Goalscorer Santi S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferraro N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Virtus 86 / 100
SP Domagnano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Virtus SP Domagnano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Virtus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Virtus scored in 82% of their last 33 outings.

SP Domagnano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Virtus went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Virtus VS SP Domagnano
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Virtus

(Home)
18 Sept
Tre Fiori
2 : 3
Virtus
12 Sept
Virtus
2 : 0
AC Libertas
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3
Virtus
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1
Virtus
30 Aug
Virtus
0 : 0
La Fiorita
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SP Domagnano

(Away)
11 Sept
Tre Fiori
3 : 0
SP Domagnano
08 Sept
SP Domagnano
3 : 1
SC Faetano
04 Sept
SP Domagnano
4 : 0
San Giovanni
28 Aug
Cailungo
1 : 2
SP Domagnano
16 May
Tre Penne
3 : 1
SP Domagnano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tre Fiori 30 22 7 1 63:13 73
2 Virtus 30 22 6 2 76:20 72
3 Tre Penne 30 21 7 2 71:18 70
4 La Fiorita 30 17 11 2 64:25 57
5 Folgore 30 16 9 5 67:33 57
6 SP Domagnano 30 14 7 9 59:36 49
7 Fiorentino 30 14 4 12 37:42 46
8 SP Cosmos 30 11 9 10 30:23 42
9 Juvenes/Dogana 30 9 10 11 36:38 37
10 AC Libertas 30 9 8 13 32:63 35
11 SS Pennarossa 30 8 8 14 29:53 32
12 San Giovanni 30 7 10 13 24:43 31
13 SC Faetano 30 6 4 20 22:55 22
14 San Marino Academy U22 30 3 7 20 23:60 16
15 Cailungo 30 2 5 23 23:71 11
16 SS Murata 30 1 4 25 20:83 -2
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)