Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Virtus Verona vs Alcione Milano

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Patane N.
46'
Sub
Amadio M. In: Mastour H.
Out: Amadio M.
47' Event
Morselli F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A game between Virtus Verona and Alcione Milano finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Virtus Verona
17%
Draws
70%
Alcione Milano
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Alcione Milano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Alcione Milano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Alcione Milano taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Virtus Verona Clean Sheet 19%
Alcione Milano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Virtus Verona Alcione Milano
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 1 11
Draws 12 9
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.88 0.38
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Virtus Verona vs Alcione Milano
1:1
Dec 13, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Alcione Milano vs Virtus Verona
0:1
Jan 4, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Virtus Verona vs Alcione Milano
1:0
Aug 30, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Alcione Milano vs Virtus Verona
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Virtus Verona Compare

Top Goalscorer Patane N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Alcione Milano Compare

Top Goalscorer Morselli F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Virtus Verona 16 / 100
Alcione Milano 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Virtus Verona Alcione Milano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Virtus Verona remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Virtus Verona scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Alcione Milano conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Virtus Verona VS Alcione Milano
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vicenza38278369:2689
2Union Brescia381912749:2469
3Renate381713853:3764
4Lecco3818101047:3464
5Trento381615758:4263
6Cittadella381781345:4359
7Lumezzane3814141046:3956
8Alcione Milano3815101335:2855
9Arzignano381581550:4853
10Giana Erminio3814101438:3952
11AlbinoLeffe3813111451:4950
12Inter U233812121440:4148
13Novara38920940:3947
14Pro Vercelli381371839:5546
15Ospitaletto3810151341:4345
16Pergolettese3810111737:5041
17Dolomiti Bellunesi3810101838:6140
18Virtus Verona383161934:6225
19Pro Patria384112334:7023
20Triestina38992045:5912