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Virunga vs Bukavu Dawa

DR Congo DR Congo

Super Ligue 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super Ligue 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Virunga
35%
Draws
26%
Bukavu Dawa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Virunga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Virunga have won more games recently than Bukavu Dawa.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Virunga Clean Sheet 20%
Bukavu Dawa Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Virunga Bukavu Dawa
Matches Played 26 33
Wins 9 4
Draws 6 13
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 0.92 0.52
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2018 Ligue 1
Bukavu Dawa vs Virunga
1:0
Dec 16, 2017 Ligue 1
Virunga vs Bukavu Dawa
1:1
Nov 27, 2016 Ligue 1
Virunga vs Bukavu Dawa
1:1
Oct 9, 2016 Ligue 1
Bukavu Dawa vs Virunga
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Virunga 31 / 100
Bukavu Dawa 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Virunga Bukavu Dawa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Virunga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Virunga scored in 65% of their last 26 games.

Bukavu Dawa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Virunga went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Virunga VS Bukavu Dawa
0.5 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Virunga

(Home)
13 Sept
Bazar Brothers
0 : 1
Virunga
27 Feb
AS Maniema
4 : 1
Virunga
18 Feb
Dauphins Noirs
0 : 1
Virunga
14 Feb
Bukavu Dawa
1 : 0
Virunga
14 Feb
Virunga
1 : 2
Muungano
Page 1 of 6

Bukavu Dawa

(Away)
14 Apr
New Jack
1 : 1
Bukavu Dawa
09 Apr
Bukavu Dawa
0 : 0
AS Maniema
02 Apr
Aigles du Congo
1 : 1
Bukavu Dawa
21 Mar
FC Renaissance
3 : 0
Bukavu Dawa
18 Mar
Bukavu Dawa
1 : 1
FC MK Etancheite
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Maniema 14 7 5 2 24:12 26
2 Mont Bleu 14 6 4 4 18:15 22
3 Dauphins Noirs 14 6 2 6 12:9 20
4 Virunga 14 6 2 6 16:16 20
5 Muungano 14 6 2 6 15:15 20
6 Bukavu Dawa 14 4 7 3 7:8 19
7 Etoile de Kivu 14 3 5 6 10:15 14
8 Makiso 14 2 5 7 11:23 11
Promotion - Super Ligue 2017/2018 (Final Stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Motema Pembe 16 13 3 0 28:4 42
2 AS Vita Club 16 11 3 2 28:5 36
3 AC Rangers 16 7 5 4 21:16 26
4 AS Dragons 16 5 6 5 18:19 21
5 Molunge 16 4 5 7 14:19 17
6 RCK 16 4 5 7 13:18 17
7 FC MK Etancheite 16 3 5 8 16:25 14
8 OC Renaissance 16 3 5 8 9:24 14
9 Nord Sport 16 0 7 9 11:28 7
10 Shark XI 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Super Ligue 2017/2018 (Final Stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 18 13 4 1 42:5 43
2 St Eloi Lupopo 18 10 3 5 25:17 33
3 Don Bosco 18 8 7 3 16:9 31
4 Sanga Balende 18 8 5 5 21:14 29
5 Groupe Bazano 18 6 5 7 16:21 23
6 Ecofoot Katumbi 18 5 7 6 12:19 22
7 Lubumbashi Sport 18 5 4 9 15:18 19
8 Tshinkunku 18 5 4 9 14:25 19
9 Dibumba 18 2 8 8 12:24 14
10 Ocean Pacifique 18 2 5 11 9:30 11
Promotion - Super Ligue 2017/2018 (Final Stage)