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Virunga vs Capaco

DR Congo DR Congo

Super Ligue 2016/2017
Fri, Dec 23, 2016
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Virunga host Capaco in the Super Ligue 2016/2017. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Capaco have shipped 0.55 goals a game lately, while Virunga have conceded 1.35 and scored 0.92. Head-to-head, Virunga have won 0 to Capaco's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Dec 23, 2016, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.92 - 1.19) back Capaco to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Virunga
20%
Draws
46%
Capaco
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Capaco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Virunga come out ahead of Capaco on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Super Ligue 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Virunga Clean Sheet 20%
Capaco Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Virunga Capaco
Matches Played 26 11
Wins 9 5
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 1
Goals Scored 0.92 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.35 0.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 23, 2016 Ligue 1
Virunga vs Capaco
0:0
Sep 18, 2016 Ligue 1
Capaco vs Virunga
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Virunga 36 / 100
Capaco 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Virunga Capaco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Capaco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Virunga scored in 65% of their last 26 outings.

Capaco let in goals in 55% of their last 11 matches.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Virunga stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Virunga VS Capaco
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Virunga

(Home)
13 Sept
Bazar Brothers
0 : 1
Virunga
27 Feb
AS Maniema
4 : 1
Virunga
18 Feb
Dauphins Noirs
0 : 1
Virunga
14 Feb
Bukavu Dawa
1 : 0
Virunga
14 Feb
Virunga
1 : 2
Muungano
Page 1 of 6

Capaco

(Away)
11 Feb
Capaco
2 : 1
Muungano
22 Jan
Nkoyi Bilombe
1 : 0
Capaco
27 Dec
El Dorado
0 : 0
Capaco
13 Dec
Capaco
1 : 0
Dauphins Noirs
06 Dec
Capaco
1 : 1
Socozaki
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bukavu Dawa 10 5 5 0 12:7 20
2 Muungano 10 6 2 2 12:3 20
3 Dauphins Noirs 10 6 2 2 12:6 20
4 Virunga 10 2 4 4 7:13 10
5 Nkoyi Bilombe 10 2 1 7 9:14 7
6 Makiso 10 2 0 8 8:17 6
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Vita Club 18 13 4 1 37:9 43
2 Motema Pembe 18 12 5 1 37:9 41
3 OC Renaissance 18 9 5 4 30:14 32
4 RCK 18 9 2 7 28:24 29
5 AS Dragons 18 8 2 8 18:20 26
6 Shark XI 18 7 4 7 21:17 25
7 FC MK Etancheite 18 6 5 7 19:23 23
8 Veti 18 4 7 7 11:23 19
9 Rojolu 18 2 3 13 11:27 9
10 Ndombe 18 1 1 16 12:58 4
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 18 14 3 1 38:3 45
2 Sanga Balende 18 13 3 2 31:8 42
3 Don Bosco 18 11 4 3 27:13 37
4 St Eloi Lupopo 18 7 4 7 18:18 25
5 Lubumbashi Sport 18 5 6 7 13:19 21
6 Dibumba 18 5 5 8 14:25 20
7 Groupe Bazano 18 6 2 10 10:21 20
8 Ocean Pacifique 18 5 4 9 16:27 19
9 Simba 18 4 5 9 16:23 17
10 New Soger 18 1 2 15 8:34 5
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)