Sport Picks
Vis Pesaro vs Carpi
Italy
Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Tonino Benelli, Pesaro 
Match Events
30'
30'
Giovannini R.
56'
56'
Sub
Puletto F. In: Giani E.
Out: Puletto F.
62'
62'
Sub
Mariani E. In: Jallow S.
Out: Mariani E.
AI Match Summary
Vis Pesaro in this Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vis Pesaro.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
20%
50%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Carpi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Carpi average 1.07 goals a game right now, well clear of Vis Pesaro's 1.03.
- Model gives Carpi a 50% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Vis Pesaro Clean Sheet 10%
Carpi Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vis Pesaro | Carpi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.8 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Vis Pesaro vs Carpi
3:0
Dec 8, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Carpi vs Vis Pesaro
1:1
Mar 7, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Carpi vs Vis Pesaro
2:1
Oct 25, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Vis Pesaro vs Carpi
4:0
Mar 17, 2021 Serie C - Group B
Carpi vs Vis Pesaro
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vis Pesaro Compare
Top Goalscorer Jallow S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Giovannini R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Carpi Compare
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vis Pesaro 14 / 100
Carpi 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vis Pesaro Carpi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Carpi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Carpi let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.
Vis Pesaro's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Vis Pesaro went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Vis Pesaro VS Carpi
1 Goals Scored 1.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Vis Pesaro
(Home) 27 Sept
Vis Pesaro
2 : 1 Guidonia 1937
21 Sept
Spezia
3 : 1 Vis Pesaro
16 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 4 Reggiana
12 Sept
Forli FC
2 : 1 Vis Pesaro
05 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 2 Ostiamare
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Vis Pesaro
2 : 1 Guidonia 1937
16 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 4 Reggiana
05 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 2 Ostiamare
30 Aug
Vis Pesaro
2 : 2 Perugia
31 Jul
Vis Pesaro
1 : 2 Benevento
Page 1 of 3
Carpi
(Away) 27 Sept
Carpi
0 : 3 Arzignano
20 Sept
Novara
2 : 2 Carpi
17 Sept
Carpi
2 : 2 Ospitaletto
13 Sept
Carpi
1 : 2 Cittadella
06 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
0 : 1 Carpi
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Novara
2 : 2 Carpi
06 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
0 : 1 Carpi
21 Aug
Union Brescia
3 : 1 Carpi
09 Aug
Mantova
0 : 1 Carpi
25 Jul
Cesena
1 : 0 Carpi
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arezzo | 36 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 64:24 | 80 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 63:23 | 77 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 50:30 | 73 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 49:37 | 59 |
| 5 | Juventus U23 | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 46:43 | 53 |
| 6 | Pianese | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 37:34 | 50 |
| 7 | Pineto | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | 50 |
| 8 | Gubbio | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 31:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Ternana | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 44:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Vis Pesaro | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 38:36 | 46 |
| 11 | Livorno | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 39:51 | 43 |
| 12 | Forli FC | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 41:52 | 40 |
| 13 | Carpi | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 35:48 | 40 |
| 14 | Perugia | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 38:44 | 38 |
| 15 | Guidonia 1937 | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 30:37 | 37 |
| 17 | Sassari Torres | 36 | 6 | 18 | 12 | 32:45 | 36 |
| 18 | Bra | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 37:54 | 32 |
| 19 | US Pontedera | 36 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 27:62 | 20 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
