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Vis Pesaro vs Fabriano Cerreto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vis Pesaro in this Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vis Pesaro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Vis Pesaro
15%
Draws
21%
Fabriano Cerreto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vis Pesaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vis Pesaro lately — more wins on the board than Fabriano Cerreto.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Vis Pesaro taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Vis Pesaro Clean Sheet 13%
Fabriano Cerreto Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vis Pesaro Fabriano Cerreto
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 12 3
Draws 8 5
Losses 16 22
Goals Scored 1.25 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.56 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Vis Pesaro vs Fabriano Cerreto
3:0
Nov 26, 2017 Serie D - Group F
Fabriano Cerreto vs Vis Pesaro
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vis Pesaro 48 / 100
Fabriano Cerreto 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vis Pesaro Fabriano Cerreto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vis Pesaro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fabriano Cerreto has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Vis Pesaro scored in 69% of their last 36 games.

Difficult form: Fabriano Cerreto registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vis Pesaro VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vis Pesaro

(Home)
27 Sept
Vis Pesaro
2 : 1
Guidonia 1937
21 Sept
Spezia
3 : 1
Vis Pesaro
16 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 4
Reggiana
12 Sept
Forli FC
2 : 1
Vis Pesaro
05 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 2
Ostiamare
Page 1 of 8

Fabriano Cerreto

(Away)
05 May
Fabriano Cerreto
1 : 1
Nerostellati Pratola
29 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
3 : 2
Fabriano Cerreto
22 Apr
Fabriano Cerreto
1 : 3
Sangiustese
15 Apr
Vis Pesaro
3 : 0
Fabriano Cerreto
08 Apr
Fabriano Cerreto
1 : 2
Monticelli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vis Pesaro 34 23 4 7 61:29 73
2 Matelica 34 22 5 7 66:28 71
3 Avezzano 34 16 14 4 51:26 62
4 Pineto 34 15 12 7 53:41 57
5 Aquila Calcio 34 15 10 9 57:40 55
6 ASD Francavilla 34 14 11 9 47:38 53
7 San Marino Calcio 34 15 6 13 45:35 51
8 Vastese 34 15 6 13 55:50 51
9 Sangiustese 34 13 9 12 39:41 48
10 Campobasso 34 13 10 11 41:40 45
11 Castelfidardo 34 12 8 14 43:54 44
12 Recanatese 34 12 7 15 47:47 43
13 Agnonese 34 11 8 15 34:35 41
14 Notaresco Calcio 34 11 7 16 42:51 40
15 Jesina 34 8 10 16 32:46 34
16 Monticelli 34 5 15 14 25:45 30
17 Fabriano Cerreto 34 5 5 24 29:69 20
18 Nerostellati Pratola 34 3 9 22 19:71 18
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 (Play Offs)