Sport Picks
Vis Pesaro vs Ternana
Italy
Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Tonino Benelli, Pesaro 
Match Events
4'
4'
Di Paola M.
28'
28'
Sub
Primasso A. In: Tonucci D.
Out: Primasso A.
29'
29'
Dubickas E.
AI Match Summary
Vis Pesaro in this Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vis Pesaro.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ternana
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ternana have won more games recently than Vis Pesaro.
- Model gives Ternana a 58% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 72.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Vis Pesaro Clean Sheet 13%
Ternana Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vis Pesaro | Ternana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 15 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 1.15 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Vis Pesaro vs Ternana
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Ternana vs Vis Pesaro
1:1
Jan 26, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Ternana vs Vis Pesaro
2:1
Sep 20, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Vis Pesaro vs Ternana
0:2
Jan 26, 2019 Serie C - Group B
Ternana vs Vis Pesaro
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vis Pesaro Compare
Top Goalscorer Di Paola M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Ternana Compare
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.93
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vis Pesaro 22 / 100
Ternana 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vis Pesaro Ternana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ternana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ternana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.
Attacking prowess: Vis Pesaro scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Vis Pesaro stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Vis Pesaro VS Ternana
0.88 Goals Scored 0.71
2.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 57%
75% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
Vis Pesaro
(Home) 12 Sept
Forli FC
2 : 1 Vis Pesaro
05 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 2 Ostiamare
02 Sept
Gubbio
5 : 0 Vis Pesaro
30 Aug
Vis Pesaro
2 : 2 Perugia
22 Aug
Pescara
2 : 0 Vis Pesaro
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 2 Ostiamare
30 Aug
Vis Pesaro
2 : 2 Perugia
31 Jul
Vis Pesaro
1 : 2 Benevento
26 Apr
Vis Pesaro
2 : 3 Sambenedettese
12 Apr
Vis Pesaro
3 : 0 Carpi
Page 1 of 3
Ternana
(Away) 12 Sept
Ternana
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
06 Sept
Prato
1 : 0 Ternana
03 May
Pianese
1 : 1 Ternana
26 Apr
Ternana
1 : 3 Pianese
18 Apr
Bra
1 : 2 Ternana
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Prato
1 : 0 Ternana
03 May
Pianese
1 : 1 Ternana
18 Apr
Bra
1 : 2 Ternana
08 Apr
Juventus U23
2 : 1 Ternana
04 Apr
Guidonia 1937
1 : 1 Ternana
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arezzo | 36 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 64:24 | 80 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 63:23 | 77 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 50:30 | 73 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 49:37 | 59 |
| 5 | Juventus U23 | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 46:43 | 53 |
| 6 | Pianese | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 37:34 | 50 |
| 7 | Pineto | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | 50 |
| 8 | Gubbio | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 31:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Ternana | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 44:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Vis Pesaro | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 38:36 | 46 |
| 11 | Livorno | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 39:51 | 43 |
| 12 | Forli FC | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 41:52 | 40 |
| 13 | Carpi | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 35:48 | 40 |
| 14 | Perugia | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 38:44 | 38 |
| 15 | Guidonia 1937 | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 30:37 | 37 |
| 17 | Sassari Torres | 36 | 6 | 18 | 12 | 32:45 | 36 |
| 18 | Bra | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 37:54 | 32 |
| 19 | US Pontedera | 36 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 27:62 | 20 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
