Sport Picks

Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4 2011/2012

FC Caracal

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Visina Noua play FC Caracal in the Liga 3 - Seria 4 2011/2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, Visina Noua averaged 1.25 goals scored and 2.38 conceded. FC Caracal averaged 1.37 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. In past meetings, Visina Noua won 2, FC Caracal won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 30, 2013 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for Visina Noua and 1.56 for FC Caracal. This points to a FC Caracal double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Visina Noua

16%

Draws

52%

FC Caracal

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: FC Caracal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Visina Noua picked up more points recently compared to FC Caracal.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 1.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 60%

Over 3.5 Goals 36%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

Visina Noua Clean Sheet 15%

FC Caracal Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Visina Noua	FC Caracal
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	11	16
Draws	3	6
Losses	18	8
Goals Scored	1.25	1.37
Goals Conceded	2.38	0.9

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2013 Liga 3 - Seria 3

FC Caracal vs Visina Noua

Possession: 58% - 53% Cards: 1 - 2

1:2

Nov 24, 2012 Liga 3 - Seria 3

Visina Noua vs FC Caracal

Possession: 55% - 52% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

May 15, 2012 Liga 3 - Seria 4

Visina Noua vs FC Caracal

Possession: 57% - 41% Cards: 1 - 1

0:1

Nov 4, 2011 Liga 3 - Seria 4

FC Caracal vs Visina Noua

Possession: 57% - 53% Cards: 0 - 4

1:0

May 3, 2011 Liga 3 - Seria 4

FC Caracal vs Visina Noua

Possession: 57% - 56% Cards: 1 - 2

2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Visina Noua 32 / 100

FC Caracal 49 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Visina Noua FC Caracal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Caracal or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.85

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Visina Noua attacking → ← attacking FC Caracal

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Visina Noua scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

FC Caracal let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Visina Noua went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

FC Caracal lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 54

2.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sportul Snagov	30	19	6	5	52:23	63
2	Minerul Motru	30	15	9	6	49:23	54
3	FC Caracal	30	15	9	6	41:24	54
4	Albota	30	14	6	10	35:26	48
5	Visina Noua	30	14	4	12	33:27	46
6	Cisnadie	30	13	7	10	42:29	46
7	Jiul Rovinari	30	13	7	10	44:28	44
8	Metaloglobus Bucharest	29	12	4	13	34:36	40
9	Gaz Metan Medias 2	30	12	4	14	27:36	40
10	Matasari	30	9	11	10	33:29	38
11	Viitorul Targu Jiu II	30	10	8	12	32:44	38
12	FCM Targoviste	30	10	7	13	28:35	37
13	Oltchim Ramnicu	29	10	6	13	33:38	36
14	Prometeu Craiova	30	9	8	13	30:39	35
15	Atletic Bradu	30	7	4	19	26:64	25
16	Ghecon Lapusata	30	5	4	21	25:63	19