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Vissel Kobe vs Al Ahli SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League 2025/2026 King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
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Match Events

31' Event
Muto Y.
Assist: Osako Y.
38'
Osako Y.
45'
Goke Y.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Al Ahli SC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Vissel Kobe
15%
Draws
27%
Al Ahli SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vissel Kobe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Ahli SC haven't matched Vissel Kobe's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Vissel Kobe a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Vissel Kobe have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Ahli SC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Vissel Kobe Clean Sheet 20%
Al Ahli SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vissel Kobe Al Ahli SC
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 19 15
Draws 2 4
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.82 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2026 AFC Champions League
Vissel Kobe vs Al Ahli SC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vissel Kobe Compare

Top Goalscorer Muto Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Al Ahli SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Galeno
1 Goals
Assists Leader Toney I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vissel Kobe 49 / 100
Al Ahli SC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vissel Kobe Al Ahli SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vissel Kobe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vissel Kobe found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Recent resilience: Vissel Kobe stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Al Ahli SC has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Vissel Kobe VS Al Ahli SC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vissel Kobe

(Home)
23 Sept
Vissel Kobe
1 : 0
Sagan Tosu
20 Sept
Gamba Osaka
0 : 1
Vissel Kobe
16 Sept
Port MTI FC
1 : 2
Vissel Kobe
11 Sept
Vissel Kobe
2 : 1
Kashima Antlers
06 Sept
Vissel Kobe
3 : 1
V-Varen Nagasaki
Page 1 of 6

Al Ahli SC

(Away)
19 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 : 1
Al Ahli SC
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1
Pakhtakor
11 Sept
Al Ahli SC
3 : 1
Al Hazem Rass
08 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 2
Al Ahli SC
04 Sept
Al Ahli SC
5 : 0
Al Riyadh
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Al Hilal 3
Al Sadd 4
Vissel Kobe 3
Seoul 1
Al Ahli SC 1
Al Duhail 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2
Johor DT 3
Machida Zelvia 1
Gangwon 0
Al Ittihad 1
Al Wahda 0
Buriram United F.C. 2
Melbourne City 1
Tractor 0
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 3
Quarter-finals
Al Sadd 3
Vissel Kobe 4
Al Ahli SC 2
Johor DT 1
Machida Zelvia 1
Al Ittihad 0
Buriram United F.C. 2
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 3
Semi-finals
Vissel Kobe 1
Al Ahli SC 2
Machida Zelvia 1
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 0
Final
Al Ahli SC 1
Machida Zelvia 0