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Vital'O vs Bumamuru

Burundi Burundi

Primus League 2025/2026 Intwari Stadium, Bujumbura
Vital'O Logo

Vital'O

2 - 1
FT
Bumamuru Logo

Bumamuru

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primus League 2025/2026 game between Vital'O and Bumamuru finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vital'O.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Vital'O
30%
Draws
23%
Bumamuru
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vital'O

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vital'O come out ahead of Bumamuru on wins alone.
  • Model gives Vital'O a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primus League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Vital'O Clean Sheet 20%
Bumamuru Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vital'O Bumamuru
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.67 1.53
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.46 0.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Primus League
Vital'O vs Bumamuru
2:1
Nov 12, 2025 Primus League
Bumamuru vs Vital'O
2:1
Feb 23, 2025 Primus League
Bumamuru vs Vital'O
1:1
Nov 10, 2024 Primus League
Vital'O vs Bumamuru
0:1
Jan 28, 2024 Primus League
Bumamuru vs Vital'O
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vital'O 85 / 100
Bumamuru 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vital'O Bumamuru

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vital'O Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vital'O scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Bumamuru has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Vital'O went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vital'O VS Bumamuru
1.5 Goals Scored 0.71
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.43
75% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Vital'O

(Home)
30 Aug
Kayanza United
1 : 1
Vital'O
23 Aug
Vital'O
2 : 1
Ngozi City
16 Aug
Vital'O
1 : 1
Inter Star
09 May
Royal Vision
0 : 1
Vital'O
05 May
Vital'O
0 : 2
Aigle Noir
Page 1 of 6

Bumamuru

(Away)
28 Aug
Bumamuru
2 : 0
Musongati
22 Aug
Panthere Noir
1 : 1
Bumamuru
16 Aug
Bumamuru
0 : 1
Le Messager Ngozi
09 May
Musongati
3 : 0
Bumamuru
26 Apr
Bumamuru
0 : 4
Rukinzo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aigle Noir 30 21 8 1 62:25 71
2 Musongati 30 17 8 5 42:21 59
3 Flambeau du Centre 30 16 8 6 42:23 56
4 Royal Vision 30 17 2 11 47:31 53
5 Rukinzo 30 14 8 8 49:28 50
6 Vital'O 30 14 8 8 45:27 50
7 Bumamuru 30 14 7 9 47:33 49
8 Muzinga 30 11 10 9 37:38 43
9 Olympic Star 30 10 9 11 36:35 39
10 Kayanza United 30 8 12 10 40:45 36
11 Le Messager Ngozi 30 8 9 13 31:33 33
12 Ngozi City 30 8 9 13 37:43 33
13 Inter Star 30 8 8 14 37:42 32
14 Dynamik 30 8 5 17 35:58 29
15 Garage Express 30 3 9 18 15:61 18
16 Green Farmers 30 1 4 25 25:84 7
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)