Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vitebsk vs BATE

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Centralnyj Stadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vitebsk play BATE in the Vysshaya Liga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vitebsk averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1.46 conceded. BATE averaged 0.89 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Vitebsk won 3, BATE won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Vitebsk and 1.38 for BATE. This points to a Vitebsk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Vitebsk
23%
Draws
38%
BATE
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Vitebsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Vitebsk picked up more points recently compared to BATE.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Vitebsk Clean Sheet 17%
BATE Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitebsk BATE
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.32 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.46 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Vitebsk vs BATE
1:0
Aug 1, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
BATE vs Vitebsk
1:5
Mar 15, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Vitebsk vs BATE
0:1
Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Vitebsk vs BATE
2:0
Sep 15, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
BATE vs Vitebsk
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitebsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Anufriev A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

BATE Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitebsk 39 / 100
BATE 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitebsk BATE

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Vitebsk or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +21.4%
3.57
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vitebsk attacking → ← attacking BATE

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitebsk scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

BATE let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Vitebsk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

BATE lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 31
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Din. Minsk14103126:1233
2ML Vitebsk1494130:1331
3Isloch Minsk1484224:1028
4FC Gomel1474320:1225
5Zhodino1465323:1223
6Dynamo Brest1463520:1421
7Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1456318:1821
8Neman1462615:1420
9FC Minsk1454519:1919
10Vitebsk1445513:1617
11Slavia Mozyr1436513:1815
12FK Baranovici1434714:2613
13Dnepr Mogilev1425711:2011
14Belshina1432913:2611
15BATE141679:179
16Naftan14131010:316