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Vitebsk vs Dnepr Mogilev

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Centralnyj Stadion, Vitebsk
Our Tip

Match Events

52'
Sub
Martynov T. In: Karpitskiy E.
Out: Martynov T.
52'
Sub
Tsepenkov K. In: Tereshchuk N.
Out: Tsepenkov K.
56'
Krasnov N.

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga game between Vitebsk and Dnepr Mogilev finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vitebsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Vitebsk
35%
Draws
15%
Dnepr Mogilev
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vitebsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Dnepr Mogilev haven't matched Vitebsk's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Vitebsk taking it.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Vitebsk have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Vitebsk Clean Sheet 68%
Dnepr Mogilev Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitebsk Dnepr Mogilev
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 5
Draws 7 11
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.57 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Vitebsk vs Dnepr Mogilev
1:0
Feb 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Dnepr Mogilev vs Vitebsk
1:6
Feb 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Dnepr Mogilev vs Vitebsk
2:4
Jul 12, 2025 Belarusian Cup
Dnepr Mogilev vs Vitebsk
0:1
Nov 8, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Vitebsk vs Dnepr Mogilev
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitebsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodionov K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Dnepr Mogilev Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitebsk 95 / 100
Dnepr Mogilev 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitebsk Dnepr Mogilev

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitebsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitebsk found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Dnepr Mogilev's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Vitebsk stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vitebsk VS Dnepr Mogilev
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitebsk

(Home)
20 Sept
Vitebsk
6 : 0
Zhodino
12 Sept
Vitebsk
1 : 1
Belshina
04 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
3 : 0
Vitebsk
28 Aug
Vitebsk
2 : 0
Naftan
21 Aug
FC Minsk
0 : 1
Vitebsk
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Dnepr Mogilev

(Away)
20 Sept
Dynamo Brest
4 : 2
Dnepr Mogilev
13 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1
ML Vitebsk
06 Sept
FK Baranovici
2 : 1
Dnepr Mogilev
30 Aug
Dnepr Mogilev
0 : 0
Isloch Minsk
24 Aug
Zhodino
0 : 0
Dnepr Mogilev
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isloch Minsk 22 13 6 3 37:18 45
2 ML Vitebsk 21 12 8 1 42:17 44
3 Din. Minsk 21 13 4 4 37:16 43
4 Dynamo Brest 23 12 4 7 38:23 40
5 FC Gomel 23 11 6 6 33:18 39
6 Neman 22 11 4 7 26:20 37
7 Vitebsk 23 10 6 7 28:21 36
8 FC Minsk 23 10 4 9 30:28 34
9 Zhodino 22 7 6 9 28:29 27
10 Slavia Mozyr 22 6 7 9 23:26 25
11 FK Baranovici 23 6 7 10 24:38 25
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 23 5 8 10 24:41 23
13 Belshina 22 5 6 11 22:36 21
14 BATE 22 3 9 10 16:27 18
15 Dnepr Mogilev 23 2 10 11 20:36 16
16 Naftan 23 3 5 15 20:54 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)