Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vitebsk vs Dnepr Mogilev

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Centralnyj Stadion
Our Tip

Match Events

52'
Sub
Martynov T. In: Karpitskiy E.
Out: Martynov T.
52'
Sub
Tsepenkov K. In: Tereshchuk N.
Out: Tsepenkov K.
56'
Krasnov N.

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga game between Vitebsk and Dnepr Mogilev finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vitebsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vitebsk
33%
Draws
27%
Dnepr Mogilev
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Vitebsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Dnepr Mogilev haven't matched Vitebsk's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Vitebsk taking it.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Vitebsk have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Vitebsk Clean Sheet 68%
Dnepr Mogilev Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitebsk Dnepr Mogilev
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 6
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 0.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Vitebsk vs Dnepr Mogilev
1:0
Feb 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Dnepr Mogilev vs Vitebsk
1:6
Feb 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Dnepr Mogilev vs Vitebsk
2:4
Jul 12, 2025 Belarusian Cup
Dnepr Mogilev vs Vitebsk
0:1
Nov 8, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Vitebsk vs Dnepr Mogilev
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitebsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodionov K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Dnepr Mogilev Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitebsk 50 / 100
Dnepr Mogilev 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitebsk Dnepr Mogilev

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Vitebsk's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Dnepr Mogilev let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Vitebsk stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vitebsk VS Dnepr Mogilev
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Din. Minsk14103126:1233
2ML Vitebsk1494130:1331
3Isloch Minsk1484224:1028
4FC Gomel1575321:1326
5Dynamo Brest1573524:1524
6Zhodino1565423:1323
7FC Minsk1564521:2022
8Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1456318:1821
9Neman1563616:1521
10Vitebsk1445513:1617
11FK Baranovici1544715:2616
12Slavia Mozyr1536614:2215
13Dnepr Mogilev1525812:2211
14Belshina1432913:2611
15BATE141679:179
16Naftan14131010:316