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Vitebsk vs ML Vitebsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Centralnyj Stadion, Vitebsk
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vitebsk host ML Vitebsk in the Vysshaya Liga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Vitebsk have averaged 1.38 scored and 0.93 conceded recently, against ML Vitebsk's 2 scored and 1.11 conceded. Head-to-head, Vitebsk have won 3 to ML Vitebsk's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 13, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.25) point toward ML Vitebsk. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Vitebsk
35%
Draws
42%
ML Vitebsk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ML Vitebsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ML Vitebsk come out ahead of Vitebsk on wins alone.
  • Model gives ML Vitebsk a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Vitebsk Clean Sheet 19%
ML Vitebsk Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitebsk ML Vitebsk
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 13 14
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.38 2
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
ML Vitebsk vs Vitebsk
1:2
Oct 26, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Vitebsk vs ML Vitebsk
0:1
May 31, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
ML Vitebsk vs Vitebsk
2:0
Oct 7, 2023 Pershaya Liga
ML Vitebsk vs Vitebsk
0:4
Jun 4, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Vitebsk vs ML Vitebsk
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitebsk 24 / 100
ML Vitebsk 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitebsk ML Vitebsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ML Vitebsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vitebsk scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

ML Vitebsk let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Vitebsk remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vitebsk VS ML Vitebsk
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitebsk

(Home)
11 Oct
Vitebsk
0 : 0
Isloch Minsk
03 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 0
Vitebsk
20 Sept
Vitebsk
6 : 0
Zhodino
12 Sept
Vitebsk
1 : 1
Belshina
04 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
3 : 0
Vitebsk
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ML Vitebsk

(Away)
11 Oct
FC Gomel
1 : 5
ML Vitebsk
18 Sept
ML Vitebsk
5 : 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
13 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1
ML Vitebsk
06 Sept
ML Vitebsk
0 : 0
Din. Minsk
02 Sept
ML Vitebsk
1 : 1
Belshina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ML Vitebsk 22 13 8 1 47:18 47
2 Isloch Minsk 23 13 7 3 37:18 46
3 Din. Minsk 22 14 4 4 40:18 46
4 Dynamo Brest 24 13 4 7 39:23 43
5 Neman 23 12 4 7 29:20 40
6 FC Gomel 24 11 6 7 34:23 39
7 Vitebsk 24 10 7 7 28:21 37
8 FC Minsk 24 10 4 10 30:29 34
9 Zhodino 23 8 6 9 29:29 30
10 Slavia Mozyr 23 6 7 10 24:28 25
11 FK Baranovici 24 6 7 11 24:41 25
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 24 5 8 11 24:42 23
13 BATE 23 4 9 10 18:28 21
14 Belshina 23 5 6 12 23:40 21
15 Naftan 24 4 5 15 24:55 17
16 Dnepr Mogilev 24 2 10 12 22:39 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)