Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vitebsk vs Naftan

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Centralnyj Stadion, Vitebsk
Fri, Aug 28, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vitebsk host Naftan in the Vysshaya Liga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Vitebsk have averaged 1.56 scored and 1.22 conceded recently, against Naftan's 1.12 scored and 2.16 conceded. Head-to-head, Vitebsk have won 1 to Naftan's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.13, favoring Vitebsk. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Vitebsk
15%
Draws
21%
Naftan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vitebsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Vitebsk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Vitebsk a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Vitebsk Clean Sheet 20%
Naftan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitebsk Naftan
Matches Played 27 25
Wins 12 4
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.56 1.12
Goals Conceded 1.22 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Naftan vs Vitebsk
1:1
Mar 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Naftan vs Vitebsk
1:1
Sep 6, 2025 Club Friendly
Vitebsk vs Naftan
3:3
Aug 16, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Naftan vs Vitebsk
3:0
Apr 5, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Vitebsk vs Naftan
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitebsk 76 / 100
Naftan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitebsk Naftan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitebsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitebsk scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

Naftan let in goals in 80% of their last 25 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Vitebsk remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vitebsk VS Naftan
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitebsk

(Home)
15 Aug
BATE
1 : 0
Vitebsk
08 Aug
Vitebsk
1 : 0
Neman
01 Aug
FC Gomel
0 : 1
Vitebsk
25 Jul
FC Gomel
1 : 2
Vitebsk
18 Jul
Ostrovets
2 : 3
Vitebsk
Page 1 of 6

Naftan

(Away)
15 Aug
FC Gomel
6 : 0
Naftan
07 Aug
Naftan
3 : 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
31 Jul
Dnepr Mogilev
3 : 3
Naftan
19 Jul
Orsha
3 : 2
Naftan
03 Jul
Naftan
2 : 4
Dynamo Brest
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Din. Minsk 15 11 3 1 30:12 36
2 ML Vitebsk 15 10 4 1 32:13 34
3 Isloch Minsk 16 10 4 2 30:14 34
4 Dynamo Brest 18 9 3 6 30:17 30
5 FC Gomel 18 8 5 5 27:15 29
6 FC Minsk 18 8 4 6 25:23 28
7 Vitebsk 18 7 5 6 18:17 26
8 Neman 17 7 3 7 18:17 24
9 Zhodino 17 6 5 6 23:18 23
10 Slavia Mozyr 17 5 6 6 20:23 21
11 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 18 5 6 7 20:29 21
12 FK Baranovici 18 4 5 9 20:34 17
13 BATE 16 2 7 7 12:19 13
14 Dnepr Mogilev 18 2 7 9 16:29 13
15 Belshina 16 3 3 10 14:31 12
16 Naftan 17 2 4 11 16:40 10
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)