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Vitebsk vs Naftan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Centralnyj Stadion, Vitebsk
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Zgomba M.
Assist: Egorov S.
18'
Kuntsevich M.
29' Event
Egorov S.
Assist: Protasov Y.

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga game between Vitebsk and Naftan finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vitebsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Vitebsk
20%
Draws
29%
Naftan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vitebsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Vitebsk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Vitebsk a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Vitebsk Clean Sheet 20%
Naftan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitebsk Naftan
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 4
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.52 1
Goals Conceded 1 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Vitebsk vs Naftan
2:0
Apr 25, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Naftan vs Vitebsk
1:1
Mar 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Naftan vs Vitebsk
1:1
Sep 6, 2025 Club Friendly
Vitebsk vs Naftan
3:3
Aug 16, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Naftan vs Vitebsk
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitebsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Zgomba M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Egorov S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Naftan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitebsk 85 / 100
Naftan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitebsk Naftan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitebsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naftan let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Vitebsk scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Vitebsk remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vitebsk VS Naftan
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.88
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitebsk

(Home)
03 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 0
Vitebsk
20 Sept
Vitebsk
6 : 0
Zhodino
12 Sept
Vitebsk
1 : 1
Belshina
04 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
3 : 0
Vitebsk
28 Aug
Vitebsk
2 : 0
Naftan
Page 1 of 6

Naftan

(Away)
19 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
0 : 1
Naftan
13 Sept
BATE
2 : 2
Naftan
06 Sept
Naftan
0 : 3
FC Minsk
02 Sept
Din. Minsk
5 : 1
Naftan
28 Aug
Vitebsk
2 : 0
Naftan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isloch Minsk 22 13 6 3 37:18 45
2 ML Vitebsk 21 12 8 1 42:17 44
3 Din. Minsk 21 13 4 4 37:16 43
4 Dynamo Brest 23 12 4 7 38:23 40
5 FC Gomel 23 11 6 6 33:18 39
6 Neman 22 11 4 7 26:20 37
7 Vitebsk 23 10 6 7 28:21 36
8 FC Minsk 23 10 4 9 30:28 34
9 Zhodino 22 7 6 9 28:29 27
10 Slavia Mozyr 22 6 7 9 23:26 25
11 FK Baranovici 23 6 7 10 24:38 25
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 23 5 8 10 24:41 23
13 Belshina 22 5 6 11 22:36 21
14 BATE 22 3 9 10 16:27 18
15 Dnepr Mogilev 23 2 10 11 20:36 16
16 Naftan 23 3 5 15 20:54 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)