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Vitebsk vs Zhodino - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Centralnyj Stadion, Vitebsk
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Egorov S.
Assist: Protasov Y.
24' Event
Novykh E.
Assist: Bashilov M.
28' Event
Gurenko A.
Assist: Minaev R.

AI Match Summary

Vitebsk in this Vysshaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vitebsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Vitebsk
15%
Draws
26%
Zhodino
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vitebsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Vitebsk have won more games recently than Zhodino.
  • Win probability leans Vitebsk's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Vitebsk Clean Sheet 68%
Zhodino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitebsk Zhodino
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.52 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Vitebsk vs Zhodino
6:0
May 17, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Zhodino vs Vitebsk
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Vitebsk vs Zhodino
1:1
Jun 22, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Zhodino vs Vitebsk
3:2
Nov 2, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Zhodino vs Vitebsk
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitebsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Novykh E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Egorov S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Zhodino Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitebsk 95 / 100
Zhodino 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitebsk Zhodino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitebsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Vitebsk's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Zhodino's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Vitebsk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vitebsk VS Zhodino
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitebsk

(Home)
03 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 0
Vitebsk
20 Sept
Vitebsk
6 : 0
Zhodino
12 Sept
Vitebsk
1 : 1
Belshina
04 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
3 : 0
Vitebsk
28 Aug
Vitebsk
2 : 0
Naftan
Page 1 of 6

Zhodino

(Away)
03 Oct
Zhodino
1 : 2
Torpedo Moscow
20 Sept
Vitebsk
6 : 0
Zhodino
12 Sept
Neman
1 : 0
Zhodino
05 Sept
Zhodino
1 : 2
FC Gomel
30 Aug
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
2 : 4
Zhodino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isloch Minsk 22 13 6 3 37:18 45
2 ML Vitebsk 21 12 8 1 42:17 44
3 Din. Minsk 21 13 4 4 37:16 43
4 Dynamo Brest 23 12 4 7 38:23 40
5 FC Gomel 23 11 6 6 33:18 39
6 Neman 22 11 4 7 26:20 37
7 Vitebsk 23 10 6 7 28:21 36
8 FC Minsk 23 10 4 9 30:28 34
9 Zhodino 22 7 6 9 28:29 27
10 Slavia Mozyr 22 6 7 9 23:26 25
11 FK Baranovici 23 6 7 10 24:38 25
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 23 5 8 10 24:41 23
13 Belshina 22 5 6 11 22:36 21
14 BATE 22 3 9 10 16:27 18
15 Dnepr Mogilev 23 2 10 11 20:36 16
16 Naftan 23 3 5 15 20:54 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)