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Viterbese vs San Donato Tavarnelle - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie C 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

51'
Rossi A.
55' Event
Polidori A.
58' Event
Rodio F.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Viterbese advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Viterbese
30%
Draws
29%
San Donato Tavarnelle
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Viterbese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Viterbese carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Viterbese are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Viterbese have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Viterbese, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Viterbese Clean Sheet 20%
San Donato Tavarnelle Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Viterbese San Donato Tavarnelle
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 7 10
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.93 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2022 Coppa Italia Serie C
Viterbese vs San Donato Tavarnelle
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Viterbese Compare

Top Goalscorer Polidori A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodio F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

San Donato Tavarnelle Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Viterbese 42 / 100
San Donato Tavarnelle 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Viterbese San Donato Tavarnelle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Viterbese scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

San Donato Tavarnelle's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Viterbese remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS San Donato Tavarnelle
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Viterbese

(Home)
23 Apr
Viterbese
2 : 1
Virtus Francavilla
16 Apr
Turris
2 : 1
Viterbese
08 Apr
Viterbese
0 : 1
Monterosi
02 Apr
Gelbison
0 : 1
Viterbese
25 Mar
Viterbese
1 : 1
Audace Cerignola
Page 1 of 6

San Donato Tavarnelle

(Away)
04 Oct
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1
Mezzolara
27 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 1
San Donato Tavarnelle
20 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
0 : 2
Follonica Gavorrano
16 Sept
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 1
San Donato Tavarnelle
13 Sept
Sasso Marconi
1 : 3
San Donato Tavarnelle
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Juve Stabia 1
Audace Cerignola 0
Foggia 1
Picerno 0
Crotone 3
ACR Messina 2
Taranto 1
Monopoli 2
Catanzaro -
TBD -
Virtus Francavilla 0
Potenza 1
Avellino 1
Fidelis Andria 0
Turris 1
Gelbison 0
Padova -
TBD -
Pordenone 0
Imolese 1
Pescara 6
Vis Pesaro 0
Gubbio 2
Recanatese 1
Piacenza 2
Pro Vercelli 0
Pergolettese 1
Sangiuliano City 3
FeralpiSalo -
TBD -
Lecco 1
Juventus U23 3
Entella 2
Carrarese 1
Montevarchi 1
Monterosi 0
Fiorenzuola 0
Lucchese 1
Olbia 2
Sassari Torres 1
Pro Patria 1
AlbinoLeffe 0
Alessandria 2
Novara 1
Mantova 1
Trento 0
Renate 3
Pro Sesto 1
Viterbese 2
San Donato Tavarnelle 0
Latina 0
Giugliano 2
Reggiana -
TBD -
Siena 0
US Pontedera 1
Ancona 0
Rimini 1
Cesena 3
Fermana 1
Vicenza 2
Virtus Verona 1
Triestina 0
Arzignano 1
1/16-finals
Juve Stabia 0
Foggia 1
Crotone 3
Monopoli 2
Catanzaro 3
Potenza 1
Avellino 1
Turris 0
Padova 1
Imolese 0
Pescara 0
Gubbio 1
Piacenza 2
Sangiuliano City 3
FeralpiSalo 2
Juventus U23 5
Entella 1
Montevarchi 0
Lucchese 1
Olbia 0
Pro Patria 1
Alessandria 2
Mantova 2
Renate 3
Viterbese 2
Giugliano 1
Reggiana 0
US Pontedera 1
Rimini 2
Cesena 1
Vicenza 4
Arzignano 2
1/8-finals
Foggia 2
Crotone 0
Catanzaro 4
Avellino 3
Padova 1
Gubbio 0
Sangiuliano City 0
Juventus U23 1
Entella 2
Lucchese 1
Alessandria 0
Renate 2
Viterbese 1
US Pontedera 0
Rimini 1
Vicenza 2
Quarter-finals
Foggia 2
Catanzaro 0
Padova 1
Juventus U23 2
Entella 5
Renate 2
Viterbese 0
Vicenza 2
Semi-finals
Foggia 3
Juventus U23 4
Entella 2
Vicenza 4
Final
Juventus U23 3
Vicenza 5