Sport Picks
Viterbese vs Virtus Francavilla
Italy
Serie C - Group C 2022/2023 
Match Events
6'
6'
Marotta A.
12'
12'
Di Marco T.
53'
53'
Sub
Di Marco T. In: Cisco A.
Out: Di Marco T.
AI Match Summary
Viterbese in this Serie C - Group C 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Viterbese.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
15%
54%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Virtus Francavilla
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Virtus Francavilla have won more games recently than Viterbese.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular Serie C - Group C 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Viterbese Clean Sheet 19%
Virtus Francavilla Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Viterbese | Virtus Francavilla |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 15 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 23, 2023 Serie C - Group C
Viterbese vs Virtus Francavilla
2:1
Dec 18, 2022 Serie C - Group C
Virtus Francavilla vs Viterbese
2:1
Apr 18, 2021 Serie C - Group C
Virtus Francavilla vs Viterbese
0:0
Dec 23, 2020 Serie C - Group C
Viterbese vs Virtus Francavilla
2:2
Apr 25, 2020 Serie C - Group C
Virtus Francavilla vs Viterbese
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Viterbese Compare
Top Goalscorer Polidori A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Marotta A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52
Virtus Francavilla Compare
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Viterbese 32 / 100
Virtus Francavilla 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Viterbese Virtus Francavilla
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Viterbese found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).
Virtus Francavilla has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Viterbese stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Virtus Francavilla
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Viterbese
(Home) 23 Apr
Viterbese
2 : 1 Virtus Francavilla
16 Apr
Turris
2 : 1 Viterbese
08 Apr
Viterbese
0 : 1 Monterosi
02 Apr
Gelbison
0 : 1 Viterbese
25 Mar
Viterbese
1 : 1 Audace Cerignola
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23 Apr
Viterbese
2 : 1 Virtus Francavilla
08 Apr
Viterbese
0 : 1 Monterosi
25 Mar
Viterbese
1 : 1 Audace Cerignola
15 Mar
Viterbese
0 : 0 Taranto
25 Feb
Viterbese
1 : 1 Picerno
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Virtus Francavilla
(Away) 04 Oct
Gravina
4 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
27 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 San Felice Gladiator
20 Sept
Martina Calcio
1 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
16 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 Brindisi
13 Sept
Melfi
0 : 1 Virtus Francavilla
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Gravina
4 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
20 Sept
Martina Calcio
1 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
13 Sept
Melfi
0 : 1 Virtus Francavilla
26 Apr
Pompei
4 : 1 Virtus Francavilla
02 Apr
Afragolese
2 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Catanzaro | 38 | 30 | 6 | 2 | 102:21 | 96 |
| 2 | Crotone | 38 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 57:31 | 80 |
| 3 | Pescara | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 58:42 | 65 |
| 4 | Foggia | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 60:44 | 61 |
| 5 | Audace Cerignola | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 48:41 | 60 |
| 6 | Picerno | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 40:34 | 59 |
| 7 | Monopoli | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 46:48 | 54 |
| 8 | Latina | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 39:46 | 49 |
| 9 | Potenza | 38 | 10 | 18 | 10 | 49:57 | 48 |
| 10 | Juve Stabia | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 37:49 | 46 |
| 11 | Taranto | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 26:36 | 46 |
| 12 | Giugliano | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 51:61 | 46 |
| 13 | Virtus Francavilla | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 47:54 | 45 |
| 14 | Avellino | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 42:49 | 43 |
| 15 | Turris | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:56 | 43 |
| 16 | Monterosi | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 39:45 | 42 |
| 17 | ACR Messina | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 32:47 | 41 |
| 18 | Gelbison | 38 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 25:40 | 36 |
| 19 | Viterbese | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 35:52 | 33 |
| 20 | Fidelis Andria | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 29:49 | 33 |
Promotion - Serie B 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Out)
