Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vitoria da Conquista vs Santa Rita

Brazil Brazil

Serie D 2018
Vitoria da Conquista Logo

Vitoria da Conquista

1 - 0
FT
Santa Rita Logo

Santa Rita

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vitoria da Conquista in this Serie D 2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vitoria da Conquista.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Vitoria da Conquista
15%
Draws
51%
Santa Rita
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santa Rita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Rita haven't matched Vitoria da Conquista's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Vitoria da Conquista Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Rita Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria da Conquista Santa Rita
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 9 6
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 0.97 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 0.82 0.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2018 Serie D
Santa Rita vs Vitoria da Conquista
3:0
May 7, 2018 Serie D
Vitoria da Conquista vs Santa Rita
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria da Conquista 32 / 100
Santa Rita 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria da Conquista Santa Rita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Rita Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Rita has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Santa Rita lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Vitoria da Conquista scored in 52% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria da Conquista VS Santa Rita
0.5 Goals Scored 0.43
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.14
75% Over 1.5 43%
38% Over 2.5 14%
0% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria da Conquista

(Home)
05 Jul
Vitoria da Conquista
2 : 2
Fluminense de Feira
21 Jun
Barreiras
2 : 1
Vitoria da Conquista
14 Jun
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 1
Redencao
06 Jun
Camacari
2 : 5
Vitoria da Conquista
31 May
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 2
Grapiuna
Page 1 of 7

Santa Rita

(Away)
24 Sept
Santa Rita
2 : 0
Serrano PB
19 Sept
Cruzeiro-PB
0 : 1
Santa Rita
16 Sept
Auto Esporte
2 : 0
Santa Rita
13 Sept
Santa Rita
0 : 6
Desportiva Guarabira
27 May
Itabaiana
2 : 1
Santa Rita
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manaus FC 6 4 0 2 14:8 12
2 Rio Branco AC 6 3 2 1 13:7 11
3 Macapa 6 2 0 4 7:16 6
4 Bare 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
Promotion - Serie D 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Santos AP 6 2 2 2 13:8 8
3 Barcelona RO 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
4 Placido de Castro 6 1 1 4 8:19 4
Promotion - Serie D 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional-AM (Manaus) 6 3 1 2 9:4 10
2 Sao Raimundo RR 6 2 2 2 10:11 8
3 Sao Raimundo PA 6 2 2 2 7:8 8
4 Real Ariquemes 6 1 3 2 7:10 6
Promotion - Serie D 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviario 6 2 4 0 7:5 10
2 Cordino EC 6 2 3 1 6:4 9
3 Julho Esporte 6 1 3 2 3:5 6
4 Interporto 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Serie D 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moto Club 6 4 1 1 6:3 13
2 AE Altos 6 3 2 1 7:3 11
3 SD Sparta 6 1 2 3 6:9 5
4 ASSU 6 1 1 4 2:6 4
Promotion - Serie D 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America RN 6 4 2 0 11:6 14
2 Imperatriz 6 2 3 1 10:3 9
3 Belo Jardim 6 0 4 2 6:12 4
4 Guarani de Juazeiro 6 0 3 3 8:14 3
Promotion - Serie D 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sergipe 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
2 Jacuipense 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
3 Central SC 6 1 3 2 7:6 6
4 ASA 6 0 4 2 7:11 4
Promotion - Serie D 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campinense 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
2 Fluminense de Feira 6 4 1 1 18:3 13
3 Flamengo Arcoverde 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
4 Murici 6 0 1 5 4:16 1
Promotion - Serie D 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treze PB 6 3 3 0 14:4 12
2 Itabaiana 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
3 Vitoria da Conquista 6 2 2 2 4:6 8
4 Santa Rita 6 1 0 5 6:16 3
Promotion - Serie D 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipora 6 4 1 1 10:4 13
2 Brasiliense 6 3 2 1 9:3 11
3 Corumbaense 6 2 2 2 5:9 8
4 Dom Bosco 6 0 1 5 2:10 1
Promotion - Serie D 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sinop FC 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
2 Novoperario 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
3 Aparecidense 6 2 2 2 11:10 8
4 Ceilandia 6 1 2 3 9:11 5
Promotion - Serie D 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Macae 6 3 2 1 10:8 11
2 URT 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
3 Itumbiara 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
4 Espirito Santo (Inactive) 6 0 2 4 6:12 2
Promotion - Serie D 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uberlandia 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
2 Novorizontino 6 2 3 1 10:9 9
3 Americano 6 2 2 2 10:11 8
4 CA Itapemirim 6 0 3 3 3:6 3
Promotion - Serie D 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linense 6 2 3 1 5:3 9
2 Maringa FC 6 2 3 1 7:6 9
3 Madureira 6 1 3 2 6:7 6
4 Caldense 6 1 3 2 5:7 6
Promotion - Serie D 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SER Caxias do Sul 6 5 1 0 13:2 16
2 Inter de Lages 6 3 0 3 7:11 9
3 Mirassol 6 2 1 3 3:5 7
4 Nova Iguacu 6 1 0 5 6:11 3
Promotion - Serie D 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tubarao 6 5 0 1 9:3 15
2 Novo Hamburgo 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
3 Cianorte 6 1 3 2 2:5 6
4 Ferroviaria 6 0 3 3 3:7 3
Promotion - Serie D 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 17)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Sao Jose (PA) 6 6 0 0 10:4 18
2 Brusque 6 3 0 3 9:5 9
3 Prudentopolis 6 2 0 4 6:8 6
4 Mogi Mirim 6 1 0 5 6:14 3
Promotion - Serie D 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams