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Vitoria da Conquista vs SSA - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Brandao
87' Event
Braga M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Baiano 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Vitoria da Conquista
15%
Draws
51%
SSA
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SSA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SSA lately — more wins on the board than Vitoria da Conquista.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on Vitoria da Conquista taking it.
  • Regular Baiano 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • SSA have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Vitoria da Conquista Clean Sheet 10%
SSA Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria da Conquista SSA
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Baiano 2
Vitoria da Conquista vs SSA
0:2
Jun 1, 2025 Baiano 2
Vitoria da Conquista vs SSA
1:1
Jul 14, 2024 Baiano 2
Vitoria da Conquista vs SSA
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria da Conquista Compare

Top Goalscorer Braga M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

SSA Compare

Top Goalscorer Brandao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria da Conquista 38 / 100
SSA 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria da Conquista SSA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria da Conquista Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

SSA lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Vitoria da Conquista's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

SSA's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria da Conquista VS SSA
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria da Conquista

(Home)
05 Jul
Vitoria da Conquista
2 : 2
Fluminense de Feira
21 Jun
Barreiras
2 : 1
Vitoria da Conquista
14 Jun
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 1
Redencao
06 Jun
Camacari
2 : 5
Vitoria da Conquista
31 May
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 2
Grapiuna
Page 1 of 6

SSA

(Away)
02 Aug
Fluminense de Feira
2 : 0
SSA
26 Jul
SSA
1 : 2
Fluminense de Feira
18 Jul
SSA
3 : 1
Barreiras
11 Jul
Barreiras
2 : 1
SSA
05 Jul
SSA
1 : 0
Barreiras
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itabuna 9 7 2 0 20:7 23
2 Bahia de Feira 9 6 2 1 28:5 20
3 Fluminense de Feira 9 6 2 1 16:5 20
4 Galicia 9 4 3 2 20:9 15
5 EC Ypiranga 9 3 4 2 11:9 13
6 Vitoria da Conquista 8 3 2 3 8:11 11
7 SSA 9 2 4 3 10:8 10
8 Leonico 8 2 1 5 12:20 7
9 Grapiuna 9 0 1 8 4:31 1
10 Teixeira de Freitas 9 0 1 8 0:24 0
Promotion - Baiano 2 2025 (Play Offs)